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Ice Lab

Fri, Nov 17, 2017·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 86% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pouliot–Okposo–O'ReillyKane–Reinhart–EichelPominville–Larsson–GriffithNolan–Girgensons–CriscuoloBeaulieu–McCabeGorges–AntipinFalk–ScandellaScandella–AntipinScandella–BeaulieuGorges–FalkBeaulieu–Antipin
Nielsen–Helm–Glendening0:540.44–0.006:210.24–0.081:550.44–0.062:510.05–0.020:560.00–0.001:310.03–0.000:370.15–0.00
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Mantha1:210.13–0.121:280.00–0.002:270.14–0.001:130.11–0.032:540.24–0.111:250.03–0.003:020.11–0.12
Tatar–Athanasiou–Larkin3:090.08–0.000:520.03–0.001:410.11–0.000:390.00–0.111:120.02–0.00
Abdelkader–Tatar–Larkin0:360.00–0.000:430.44–0.001:480.25–0.001:080.10–0.000:340.06–0.000:550.15–0.000:540.00–0.000:370.44–0.00
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Tatar2:020.18–0.060:300.00–0.000:590.18–0.000:470.00–0.00
Zetterberg–Abdelkader–Nyquist1:070.03–0.020:380.00–0.020:580.00–0.000:390.15–0.00
Wilson–Athanasiou–Mantha1:170.02–0.000:570.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Zetterberg–Nyquist–Athanasiou0:450.09–0.000:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Abdelkader–Wilson–Larkin0:350.00–0.000:300.08–0.000:350.00–0.000:300.08–0.00
Daley–Ericsson2:520.44–0.007:070.32–0.060:550.03–0.020:300.08–0.004:070.44–0.143:240.08–0.002:190.08–0.001:520.10–0.000:530.01–0.001:100.15–0.00
Green–Ouellet2:520.09–0.001:440.44–0.002:310.15–0.002:330.11–0.023:210.04–0.001:190.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Kronwall–Jensen1:340.25–0.001:570.04–0.001:210.03–0.002:330.11–0.001:270.07–0.000:440.17–0.001:040.03–0.00
Kronwall–Green4:110.16–0.180:580.23–0.002:590.02–0.120:580.12–0.00
Daley–Ouellet0:420.00–0.021:200.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:350.00–0.020:510.02–0.000:400.00–0.00
Daley–Lashoff0:510.00–0.10
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTatar FLarkin FAthanasiou FHelm FGlendening FNielsen FNyquist FMantha FZetterberg FAbdelkader FWilson FGreen DKronwall DEricsson DDaley DOuellet DJensen DLashoff DHoward GOkposo FPouliot FO'Reilly FEichel FKane FReinhart FLarsson FPominville FGriffith FNolan FGirgensons FCriscuolo FScandella DFalk DMcCabe DBeaulieu DGorges DAntipin DLehner G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Marco ScandellaBUF2824:020:521:2833
Mike GreenDET2723:510:532:2243
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2722:110:491:3345
Dylan LarkinDET2421:570:552:0734
Henrik ZetterbergDET2321:230:561:2430
Jake McCabeBUF2520:560:501:4633
Trevor DaleyDET2520:370:492:0443
Gustav NyquistDET2320:070:521:4531
Evander KaneBUF2319:420:511:2453
Josh GorgesBUF2719:190:431:5033
Victor AntipinBUF2419:000:481:5042
Jonathan EricssonDET2318:480:492:0232
Jack EichelBUF2318:450:491:3064
Andreas AthanasiouDET2118:430:532:0031
Tomas TatarDET2418:250:461:2631
Anthony ManthaDET2218:020:492:0061
Benoit PouliotBUF2517:480:431:2931
Nathan BeaulieuBUF2317:440:461:3622
Kyle OkposoBUF2017:330:531:2941
Justin AbdelkaderDET2217:210:471:1940
Niklas KronwallDET2316:560:441:3020
Justin FalkBUF2416:190:411:2015
Xavier OuelletDET1616:011:002:3124
Frans NielsenDET2415:590:401:2675
Sam ReinhartBUF1915:330:491:4742
Johan LarssonBUF2214:500:401:1615
Luke GlendeningDET2213:300:371:0945
Darren HelmDET2213:260:370:5744
Jason PominvilleBUF1711:120:401:1620
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1411:030:471:1201
Nick JensenDET1611:010:411:1001
Seth GriffithBUF1510:240:421:1620
Kyle CriscuoloBUF106:560:421:1201
Jordan NolanBUF136:430:311:1200
Scott WilsonDET106:160:381:1020
Brian LashoffDET54:020:481:0310