Tue, Nov 28, 2017·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Buffalo Sabres 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 62% of the time.
27%
11%
8%
54%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Palat–Gourde–Point | Kunitz–Callahan–Johnson | Kunitz–Callahan–Paquette | Killorn–Gourde–Paquette | Palat–Kucherov–Point | Johnson–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Killorn–Johnson–Point | Kunitz–Killorn–Johnson | Hedman–Sustr | Coburn–Girardi | Stralman–Sergachev | Stralman–Koekkoek | Girardi–Hedman | Coburn–Sustr | Hedman–Sergachev | Girardi–Sergachev | Stralman–Hedman | Coburn–Koekkoek | Girardi–Koekkoek | Coburn–Hedman | Hedman–Koekkoek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kane–Reinhart–Eichel | 2:180.02–0.00 | 2:140.04–0.05 | 1:430.01–0.00 | 2:100.35–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.02 | 0:490.05–0.02 | 2:290.08–0.00 | 1:450.34–0.00 | 1:050.04–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.02 | 1:100.01–0.02 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | ||||||||
| Pouliot–Okposo–O'Reilly | 2:450.03–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.25 | 1:380.00–0.29 | 0:420.02–0.04 | 0:390.00–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.17 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.33 | 1:360.03–0.01 | 0:370.00–0.11 | 1:480.02–0.04 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Pominville–Nolan–Larsson | 0:520.00–0.10 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.21 | 0:490.00–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.10 | |||||||||||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Criscuolo | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.03 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:530.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.03 | 0:510.00–0.01 | ||||||||||||||
| Okposo–O'Reilly–Nolan | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:440.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Pominville–Kane–Eichel | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:460.06–0.00 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:470.06–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Moulson–Girgensons–Reinhart | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 5:040.06–0.02 | 2:130.00–0.27 | 1:500.00–0.02 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 1:020.02–0.06 | 0:490.05–0.02 | 3:250.11–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.30 | 2:050.04–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.25 | 2:000.02–0.04 | 1:020.00–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||
| McCabe–Antipin | 1:300.05–0.00 | 3:180.02–0.03 | 1:560.01–0.03 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:080.05–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 1:590.02–0.03 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:510.01–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.02 | |||||||
| Falk–Beaulieu | 1:170.03–0.04 | 1:490.00–0.25 | 2:140.32–0.00 | 1:540.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.12 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 2:550.32–0.00 | 1:310.03–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.26 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.04 | ||||||||
| Scandella–Beaulieu | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.17 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Falk–Scandella | 0:550.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 26:19 | 1:06 | 1:55 | 5 | 7 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 28 | 26:00 | 0:56 | 2:52 | 13 | 7 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 28 | 25:09 | 0:54 | 2:46 | 10 | 4 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 27 | 24:50 | 0:55 | 2:02 | 8 | 4 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 25 | 22:33 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 5 | 6 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 22 | 21:32 | 0:59 | 2:46 | 8 | 0 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 24 | 21:16 | 0:53 | 2:46 | 8 | 1 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 23 | 21:05 | 0:55 | 2:41 | 3 | 6 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 20 | 20:54 | 1:03 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 19:53 | 0:52 | 1:36 | 11 | 3 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 22 | 19:53 | 0:54 | 1:46 | 5 | 4 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 23 | 18:17 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 8 | 0 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 2:46 | 2 | 3 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 22 | 17:50 | 0:49 | 1:52 | 5 | 3 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 17:30 | 0:55 | 2:41 | 5 | 0 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 23 | 17:10 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 4 | 4 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 6 | 0 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 19 | 15:24 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 2 | 5 |
 Ondrej PalatTBL | 19 | 15:22 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 5 | 4 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 22 | 15:22 | 0:42 | 2:17 | 1 | 5 |
 Jake McCabeBUF | 20 | 14:39 | 0:44 | 1:29 | 2 | 2 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 19 | 14:32 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 6 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 16 | 14:25 | 0:54 | 2:02 | 4 | 2 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 17 | 14:22 | 0:51 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Andrej SustrTBL | 14 | 13:03 | 0:56 | 1:55 | 0 | 1 |
 Chris KunitzTBL | 16 | 13:01 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 17 | 12:41 | 0:45 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 15 | 12:38 | 0:51 | 1:59 | 5 | 0 |
 Jordan NolanBUF | 17 | 12:28 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 5 | 4 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 17 | 12:23 | 0:44 | 1:13 | 0 | 8 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 17 | 12:06 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 4 | 2 |
 Matt MoulsonBUF | 16 | 11:02 | 0:41 | 1:09 | 4 | 0 |
 Cedric PaquetteTBL | 15 | 10:11 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Slater KoekkoekTBL | 13 | 9:42 | 0:45 | 1:37 | 2 | 3 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 12 | 8:47 | 0:44 | 1:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Kyle CriscuoloBUF | 11 | 6:55 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |