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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 1, 2017·Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Ottawa Senators 6, New York Islanders 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 68% of the time.

NYI winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Hoffman–DucheneRyan–Brassard–StonePyatt–Dzingel–PageauBurrows–Thompson–DumontThompson–Dumont–DzingelBurrows–Pyatt–PageauThompson–Pyatt–PageauKarlsson–ClaessonOduya–KarlssonPhaneuf–CeciOduya–CeciPhaneuf–ChabotClaesson–ChabotCeci–ChabotOduya–Phaneuf
Bailey–Tavares–Lee5:040.13–0.233:030.00–0.150:450.50–0.000:510.00–0.061:160.52–0.004:280.06–0.123:180.14–0.191:120.10–0.000:480.00–0.00
Ladd–Eberle–Barzal1:320.00–0.153:000.14–0.011:150.00–0.000:460.00–0.020:490.00–0.090:390.09–0.032:530.00–0.253:150.00–0.160:300.00–0.000:420.09–0.021:020.14–0.010:390.00–0.00
Chimera–Clutterbuck–Beauvillier2:400.00–0.042:190.00–0.040:340.00–0.010:390.00–0.000:350.19–0.061:190.19–0.001:540.00–0.070:530.00–0.000:490.00–0.090:370.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Nelson–Quine–Ho-Sang3:040.02–0.261:330.02–0.340:310.00–0.040:510.00–0.000:570.00–0.271:360.00–0.450:550.02–0.043:010.02–0.00
Ladd–Ho-Sang–Barzal0:300.03–0.000:540.06–0.00
Tavares–Lee–Ho-Sang
Boychuk–Leddy2:500.15–0.148:520.54–0.231:050.02–0.000:590.03–0.001:510.00–0.172:530.02–0.112:360.00–0.023:500.20–0.191:170.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:170.14–0.010:520.39–0.00
de Haan–Pelech8:290.17–0.640:380.00–0.040:480.14–0.003:190.24–0.541:120.50–0.002:210.01–0.241:170.00–0.132:090.10–0.082:350.22–0.00
Seidenberg–Pulock0:450.00–0.001:330.02–0.001:540.00–0.011:130.00–0.131:330.00–0.001:540.27–0.092:200.19–0.021:360.00–0.030:520.04–0.001:390.01–0.071:530.02–0.131:270.09–0.020:410.00–0.00
Seidenberg–Boychuk0:460.00–0.000:320.00–0.091:310.08–0.09
Pelech–Pulock0:550.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEberle FBarzal FLadd FLee FQuine FNelson FHo-Sang FTavares FBailey FClutterbuck FChimera FBeauvillier FLeddy DBoychuk Dde Haan DPelech DPulock DSeidenberg DGreiss GHalak GRyan FBrassard FStone FPyatt FBurrows FPageau FSmith FHoffman FDuchene FThompson FDumont FDzingel FPhaneuf DOduya DClaesson DKarlsson DCeci DChabot DAnderson GCondon G
NYIOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Matt DucheneOTT2423:010:582:0051
Erik KarlssonOTT3022:250:451:2232
Cody CeciOTT3022:230:451:5855
Nick LeddyNYI2622:090:512:4853
Johnny BoychukNYI2821:240:461:1754
John TavaresNYI2721:210:471:4547
Mark StoneOTT2721:100:471:5851
Zack SmithOTT2420:560:522:0050
Dion PhaneufOTT2720:550:462:0935
Johnny OduyaOTT2919:490:412:0041
Mike HoffmanOTT2519:350:472:0060
Adam PelechNYI2519:180:462:0207
Anders LeeNYI2318:500:491:4833
Calvin de HaanNYI2418:200:461:2007
Josh BaileyNYI2218:160:501:3342
Mathew BarzalNYI1917:280:551:2941
Derick BrassardOTT2617:280:401:5850
Andrew LaddNYI2117:250:501:1533
Dennis SeidenbergNYI2116:510:481:1631
Ryan PulockNYI2016:220:491:2120
Jordan EberleNYI1916:180:511:2931
Bobby RyanOTT2216:170:441:5830
Fredrik ClaessonOTT2415:380:391:2252
Thomas ChabotOTT2015:230:462:4240
Joshua Ho-SangNYI1815:060:501:2513
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT2413:340:341:0104
Anthony BeauvillierNYI1912:470:401:0903
Cal ClutterbuckNYI2012:210:370:5815
Tom PyattOTT2311:560:311:0105
Jason ChimeraNYI1611:210:431:0912
Nate ThompsonOTT1911:110:351:2934
Brock NelsonNYI1611:000:411:0813
Ryan DzingelOTT1810:400:361:0132
Alan QuineNYI149:050:391:0613
Gabriel DumontOTT137:060:330:5030
Alexandre BurrowsOTT146:470:291:0010