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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 9, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:23Goal by Brown (Rielly, Hainsey)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hunwick, Kessel, Maatta, Guentzel · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews

  3. P1 1:39Shot by Bozak, saved by Jarry
  4. P1 1:42Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Bozak)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hornqvist, Cole, Sheahan, Ruhwedel, Simon · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner, Borgman

  5. P1 2:12Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 2:50Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 2:56Shot by Hunwick, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 3:18Matthews: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Hunwick, Letang, Kessel, Guentzel · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev

  9. P1 3:24Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen5v4
  10. P1 3:27Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen5v4
  11. P1 4:33Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Andersen5v4
  12. P1 5:54Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:58Shot by Polak, saved by Jarry
  14. P1 8:14Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 8:54Shot by Kadri, saved by Jarry
  16. P1 9:07Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 9:33Shot by Hagelin, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 10:02Shot by Martin, saved by Jarry
  19. P1 11:46Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 12:07Shot by Kadri, saved by Jarry
  21. P1 12:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry
  22. P1 12:34Shot by Marleau, saved by Jarry
  23. P1 12:52Shot by Bozak, saved by Jarry
  24. P1 12:51Shot by Marner, saved by Jarry
  25. P1 12:54Shot by Bozak, saved by Jarry
  26. P1 12:55Goal by Bozak (Marner, Polak)+10 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kessel, Cole, Sheahan, Ruhwedel, Simon · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Marner, Borgman

  27. P1 14:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 14:55Shot by Rust, saved by Andersen
  29. P1 16:31Shot by Gardiner, saved by Jarry
  30. P1 17:10Shot by Kadri, saved by Jarry
  31. P1 17:44Borgman: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Letang, Reaves, Dumoulin, Rowney, Simon · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Borgman

  32. P1 17:57Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen5v4
  33. P1 19:26Shot by Rielly, saved by Jarry5v4
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:38Letang: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Dumoulin, Sheary · TOR Marleau, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri, Zaitsev

  37. P2 2:44Shot by Nylander, saved by DeSmith4v5
  38. P2 4:00Shot by Hyman, saved by DeSmith
  39. P2 4:15Moore: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Maatta, Sheary · TOR Moore, Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Brown

  40. P2 4:49Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen5v4
  41. P2 4:51Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen5v4
  42. P2 7:12Shot by Kadri, saved by DeSmith
  43. P2 7:31Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  44. P2 8:19Shot by Hunwick, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 9:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 9:27Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 12:59Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 13:41Shot by Brown, saved by DeSmith
  49. P2 14:13Shot by Rielly, saved by DeSmith
  50. P2 14:24Goal by Sheahan (Simon, Dumoulin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Reaves, Dumoulin, Sheahan, Simon · TOR Hainsey, Moore, Martin, Rielly, Nylander

  51. P2 15:05Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 16:10Hyman: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Hunwick, Hagelin, Rust, Maatta, Rowney · TOR Polak, Hyman, Brown, Matthews, Borgman

  53. P2 17:02Shot by Kessel, saved by Andersen5v4
  54. P2 17:51Goal by Malkin (Kessel)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Guentzel · TOR Moore, Polak, Komarov, Rielly

  55. P2 18:13Goal by Bozak (Gardiner, Marner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Hunwick, Reaves, Sheahan, Maatta, Simon · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Marner, Zaitsev

  56. P2 19:15Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  57. P2 19:19Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  58. P2 19:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 2:22Shot by Simon, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 2:47Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 3:04Shot by Letang, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 5:48Shot by Marner, saved by DeSmith
  65. P3 8:19Shot by Kadri, saved by DeSmith
  66. P3 10:19Shot by Guentzel, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 11:43Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 12:15Shot by Maatta, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 12:42Shot by Crosby, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 15:38Shot by Rielly, saved by DeSmith
  71. P3 17:12Goal by Crosby (Letang, Simon)6v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Dumoulin, Guentzel, Simon · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Brown, Matthews

  72. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  73. P3 0:00Final6v5