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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 9, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Brown–MatthewsMarleau–Komarov–Kadrivan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerMoore–Martin–NylanderGardiner–ZaitsevHainsey–RiellyPolak–BorgmanHainsey–ZaitsevPolak–Rielly
Malkin–Kessel–Sheary0:320.00–0.005:270.06–0.001:530.00–0.190:540.00–0.005:400.09–0.191:550.03–0.000:490.00–0.001:080.00–0.110:340.00–0.00
Crosby–Hornqvist–Guentzel2:090.07–0.001:370.03–0.001:340.23–0.004:530.31–0.000:390.00–0.00
Crosby–Guentzel–Simon5:280.37–0.003:590.16–0.001:160.16–0.00
Hagelin–Rust–Rowney2:480.00–0.141:120.00–0.002:270.07–0.002:190.00–0.14
Malkin–Kessel–Guentzel0:590.00–0.102:300.10–0.440:510.03–0.002:240.12–0.052:050.01–0.490:340.00–0.07
Reaves–Hagelin–Rowney0:350.00–0.001:460.02–0.110:370.00–0.111:370.04–0.000:390.01–0.00
Reaves–Sheahan–Simon0:570.00–0.091:110.06–0.020:420.00–0.091:040.00–0.00
Crosby–Rust–Sheary1:130.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:110.00–0.000:450.00–0.00
Hornqvist–Sheahan–Simon1:080.02–0.251:080.02–0.25
Hagelin–Sheahan–Rust0:320.00–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin6:270.23–0.003:210.09–0.052:230.20–0.001:070.09–0.027:330.34–0.054:580.25–0.092:160.02–0.000:330.01–0.00
Hunwick–Maatta3:390.06–0.254:300.10–0.472:290.03–0.102:440.00–0.113:220.15–0.094:250.08–0.664:470.02–0.301:040.03–0.00
Cole–Ruhwedel2:320.00–0.003:330.00–0.004:010.05–1.525:140.09–0.194:110.00–0.002:030.02–1.331:230.01–0.11
Hunwick–Letang0:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRust FSheary FCrosby FGuentzel FMalkin FKessel FSheahan FSimon FHornqvist FRowney FHagelin FReaves FDumoulin DLetang DHunwick DMaatta DRuhwedel DCole DJarry GDeSmith GMarleau FKadri FKomarov FHyman FBrown FMatthews FMarner Fvan Riemsdyk FBozak FMartin FMoore FNylander FZaitsev DGardiner DHainsey DRielly DPolak DBorgman DAndersen G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Nikita ZaitsevTOR3225:540:491:3536
Kris LetangPIT2825:340:551:4191
Jake GuentzelPIT2624:160:562:0981
Evgeni MalkinPIT2424:041:002:5172
Ron HainseyTOR2923:370:491:4018
Phil KesselPIT2423:240:591:4572
Sidney CrosbyPIT2522:520:552:04101
Olli MaattaPIT2821:170:461:4610
Leo KomarovTOR2921:000:431:2816
Morgan RiellyTOR2920:510:432:0825
Zach HymanTOR2420:420:522:0806
Jake GardinerTOR2920:090:421:1133
Brian DumoulinPIT2719:460:441:3372
Connor BrownTOR2619:440:461:5915
Auston MatthewsTOR2119:280:561:5903
Matt HunwickPIT2619:240:451:2511
Conor ShearyPIT2116:370:471:3732
Roman PolakTOR2416:290:411:3222
Nazem KadriTOR2216:230:451:1523
Patrick MarleauTOR2316:130:421:0915
Ian ColePIT1915:080:481:3743
Chad RuhwedelPIT1714:180:501:3732
Tyler BozakTOR1613:060:491:2941
Bryan RustPIT1812:440:421:0222
Patric HornqvistPIT1812:200:411:2781
Mitch MarnerTOR1611:590:451:0841
Carl HagelinPIT1611:500:441:1420
Andreas BorgmanTOR1811:330:391:0321
Dominik SimonPIT1611:270:431:2430
Carter RowneyPIT1511:240:461:1421
James van RiemsdykTOR1611:180:421:2441
Dominic MooreTOR149:580:431:1221
William NylanderTOR128:390:431:1810
Ryan ReavesPIT96:450:451:1300
Riley SheahanPIT136:380:311:0410
Matt MartinTOR65:160:531:1800