Sat, Dec 9, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
32%
10%
51%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 25:54 | 0.00 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 23:37 | 0.04 | 62.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 20:51 | 0.26 | 71.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.14 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.04 | 42.5% | +17.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.13 | 45.0% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.07 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.03 | 95.9% | +10.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:23 | 0.51 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.07 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 13:06 | 1.30 | 85.7% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.22 | 85.7% | +43.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:33 | 0.00 | 96.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.19 | 85.1% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.07 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:39 | 0.05 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:16 | 0.02 | 41.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.58 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 25:34 | 0.30 | 76.1% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:16 | 0.32 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.17 | 20.7% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 23:24 | 0.28 | 10.6% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 22:52 | 0.98 | 100.0% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 21:17 | 0.14 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:46 | 0.06 | 82.6% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.06 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:08 | 0.03 | 7.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.02 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.07 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.02 | 17.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 11:27 | 0.07 | 23.7% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 | 0.00 | 22.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 6:38 | 0.06 | 5.2% | +8.0 |
| L | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 0.83 | −0.2 | 38:12 | |
| – | 16 | 13 | 3 | .813 | 2.31 | −0.7 | 20:00 |