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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 9, 2017·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Nikita ZaitsevD · #22000+1025:540.0041.4%0.0
Ron HainseyD · #2011−1023:370.0462.3%+14.7
Leo KomarovRW · #470000021:000.0070.4%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44011−1420:510.2671.3%+14.7
Zach HymanLW · #110000120:420.1449.3%0.0
Jake GardinerD · #51011+1120:090.0442.5%+17.3
Connor BrownRW · #281010219:440.1345.0%+14.7
Auston MatthewsC · #340000019:280.0740.4%0.0
Roman PolakD · #46011+2116:290.0395.9%+10.4
Nazem KadriC · #430000516:230.5170.4%0.0
Patrick MarleauC · #120000116:130.0775.2%0.0
Tyler BozakC · #42213+3513:061.3085.7%+43.4
Mitch MarnerRW · #16033+3211:590.2285.7%+43.4
Andreas BorgmanD · #55000+2011:330.0096.3%0.0
James van RiemsdykLW · #25101+3111:180.1985.1%+15.7
Dominic MooreC · #20000−109:580.0773.4%0.0
William NylanderRW · #29000−118:390.0553.9%0.0
Matt MartinLW · #15000−115:160.0241.9%0.0
Frederik Andersen#31W36333.9172.58−0.460:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58011+2825:340.3076.1%+8.4
Jake GuentzelC · #590000324:160.3258.0%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #711010224:040.1720.7%+16.2
Phil KesselRW · #81011−2423:240.2810.6%+16.2
Sidney CrosbyC · #87101+1722:520.98100.0%+8.4
Olli MaattaD · #3000−2421:170.1420.1%0.0
Brian DumoulinD · #8011+2119:460.0682.6%+8.0
Matt HunwickD · #22000−2219:240.0619.0%0.0
Conor ShearyLW · #430000016:370.0030.7%0.0
Ian ColeD · #28000−2015:080.037.7%0.0
Chad RuhwedelD · #2000−2114:180.0214.5%0.0
Bryan RustRW · #170000112:440.0721.3%0.0
Patric HornqvistRW · #72000−1012:200.0059.5%0.0
Carl HagelinLW · #620000111:500.0217.2%0.0
Dominik SimonC · #49022−1111:270.0723.7%+16.4
Carter RowneyC · #370000011:240.0022.3%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000006:450.0022.1%0.0
Riley SheahanC · #15101−216:380.065.2%+8.0
Casey DeSmith#1L981.8890.83−0.238:12
Tristan Jarry#35–16133.8132.31−0.720:00