Sat, Jan 13, 2018·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Arizona Coyotes 5, San Jose Sharks 6 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 87% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 39 | 05 | 27 | 00 | 521 |
| SJS | 316 | 111 | 113 | 14 | 644 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:53SJSJoe ThorntonAssists: Joe Pavelski · Snap, 0.21 xG0–1
- P1 9:01ARIDerek StepanAssists: Brendan Perlini, Richard Panik · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 10:59SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Brent Burns, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
- P1 12:16ARIAlex GoligoskiAssists: Derek Stepan · Snap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P1 13:37SJSLogan CoutureAssists: Joonas Donskoi, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.07 xG2–3
- P1 14:01ARIChristian FischerAssists: Kevin Connauton · Backhand, 0.08 xG3–3
- P2 17:07SJSJoonas DonskoiAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Aaron Dell · Backhand, 0.06 xG3–4
- P3 3:31ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonAssists: Christian Dvorak, Clayton Keller · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–4
- P3 6:22ARIJosh ArchibaldAssists: Jakob Chychrun, Christian Dvorak · Snap, 0.05 xG5–4
- P3 19:44SJSJoonas DonskoiAssists: Brent Burns, Chris Tierney · Wrist, 0.20 xG5–5
- OT 2:42SJSMarc-Edouard VlasicGWGAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.33 xG5–6
Penalties (2)
- P1 10:51ARIDerek Stepan: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:30SJSKevin Labanc: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Thornton won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestStepan – Panik – Perlini13:36
xG 0.65–0.48 (58%)attempts 12–13goals 2–1
- Rieder – Domi – Fischer10:08
xG 0.43–0.62 (41%)attempts 7–17goals 1–1
- Archibald – Dvorak – Keller10:34
xG 0.11–0.44 (20%)attempts 8–9goals 2–0
- Richardson – Rinaldo – Martinook12:33
xG 0.18–0.51 (26%)attempts 5–18goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestDemers – Ekman-Larsson8:35
xG 0.45–0.18 (71%)attempts 7–7goals 1–0
- Goligoski – Chychrun13:31
xG 0.59–0.38 (60%)attempts 14–11goals 2–1
- Hjalmarsson – Chychrun3:43
xG 0.03–0.03 (44%)attempts 2–4goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestCouture – Hertl – Labanc12:19
xG 0.77–0.32 (71%)attempts 19–5goals 0–1
- Boedker – Donskoi – Tierney13:27
xG 0.55–0.11 (83%)attempts 19–7goals 1–0
- Thornton – Pavelski – Meier14:55
xG 0.66–0.71 (48%)attempts 17–13goals 1–0
- Sorensen – Goodrow – Karlsson4:39
xG 0.02–0.14 (14%)attempts 3–6goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Braun18:27
xG 0.83–0.21 (80%)attempts 25–13goals 1–2
- Burns – Dillon11:00
xG 0.73–0.31 (70%)attempts 20–6goals 1–1
- Burns – Ryan7:29
xG 0.39–0.32 (55%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 87% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).