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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:47Shot by White, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 5:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 5:56Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 6:52Shot by Brown, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 7:24Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:26Goal by Hyman (Matthews, Gardiner)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, White, Chabot · TOR Hainsey, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  8. P1 10:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 11:23Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 11:57Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 12:13Shot by Hoffman, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 16:37Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  13. P1 16:43Shot by Komarov, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 16:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 17:40Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 17:49Borowiecki: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Duchene, Ceci · TOR Hyman, Carrick, Dermott, Marner, Matthews

  17. P1 17:53Shot by Carrick, saved by Anderson4v5
  18. P1 18:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  22. P2 1:48Shot by Hyman, saved by Anderson
  23. P2 1:50Matthews: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Pyatt, Smith, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman

  24. P2 3:06Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen5v4
  25. P2 3:08Goal by Karlsson (Stone, Dzingel)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone, Dzingel · TOR Hainsey, Polak, Brown, Gauthier

  26. P2 6:31Shot by Oduya, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 6:54Shot by Gardiner, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 7:12Goal by Hoffman (Ceci, Ryan)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Brassard, Hoffman, Ceci · TOR Hainsey, Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews

  29. P2 7:34Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 7:42Shot by Martin, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 10:12Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 10:43Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson
  33. P2 12:01Shot by Dermott, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 13:16Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 14:53Shot by Polak, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 15:35Shot by Dermott, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 16:11Shot by Gauthier, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 17:01Shot by Pyatt, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 17:42Dzingel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Borgman

  40. P2 17:42Borgman: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Borgman

  41. P2 17:42Dzingel: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR Marleau, Polak, Komarov, Kadri, Borgman

  42. P2 17:50Shot by Bozak, saved by Anderson4v5
  43. P2 18:05Goal by Pyatt (Smith, Stone)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Smith, Ceci · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Marner

  44. P2 18:55Shot by Carrick, saved by Anderson4v5
  45. P2 19:38Bozak: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Karlsson, Stone · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Marner

  46. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 1:27Shot by Chabot, saved by Andersen5v4
  49. P3 2:53Goal by Matthews (Hyman, Gardiner)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Smith, Borowiecki, Dzingel, Ceci · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Borgman

  50. P3 3:01Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Smith, Karlsson, Borowiecki, Dzingel · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Komarov, Gardiner, Kadri

  51. P3 3:52Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson4v5
  52. P3 4:08Shot by Dumont, saved by Andersen4v5
  53. P3 4:21Goal by Marner (Gardiner)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Oduya, Pyatt, Stone, Ceci · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Marner

  54. P3 4:29Shot by Marleau, saved by Anderson
  55. P3 6:14Shot by Stone, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 8:49Shot by Kadri, saved by Anderson
  57. P3 8:58Goal by Carrick (Komarov, Kadri)+34 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Karlsson, Dzingel, Chabot, Chlapik · TOR Marleau, Komarov, Kadri, Carrick, Dermott

  58. P3 11:23Shot by Polak, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 12:25Shot by Oduya, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 12:59Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 13:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 14:13Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 19:50Shot by Duchene, saved by Andersen6v5
  64. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  65. P3 0:00Final6v5