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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hyman–Nylander–MatthewsMarleau–Komarov–Kadrivan Riemsdyk–Bozak–BrownMartin–Gauthier–MarnerBozak–Brown–Marnervan Riemsdyk–Bozak–MarnerHainsey–GardinerCarrick–DermottPolak–BorgmanGardiner–BorgmanPolak–Gardiner
Ryan–Hoffman–Duchene2:100.05–0.121:150.03–0.012:510.06–0.040:450.13–0.084:100.05–0.131:410.06–0.041:470.17–0.08
Brassard–Stone–Dzingel2:440.04–0.102:490.00–0.093:280.04–0.030:450.00–0.101:090.00–0.09
Ryan–Brassard–Stone1:430.00–0.000:560.00–0.000:450.00–0.002:400.00–0.001:030.00–0.00
Pyatt–Smith–Dzingel0:480.00–0.281:300.07–0.082:000.00–0.170:450.00–0.001:380.00–0.161:430.07–0.08
Hoffman–Duchene–White2:050.04–0.050:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.003:030.17–0.06
Burrows–Dumont–Chlapik2:430.00–0.070:520.00–0.071:440.00–0.00
Burrows–Pyatt–Smith0:390.05–0.000:510.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:390.05–0.00
Pyatt–Smith–White0:330.00–0.480:550.01–0.071:130.01–0.07
Pyatt–Smith–Stone1:030.00–0.001:430.01–0.11
Brassard–Dzingel–White1:030.00–0.230:440.00–0.230:540.00–0.00
Ryan–Brassard–Hoffman0:540.07–0.000:540.07–0.00
Phaneuf–Ceci7:070.21–0.330:570.03–0.000:410.00–0.114:410.16–0.153:510.10–0.301:120.03–0.00
Oduya–Karlsson1:150.00–0.173:250.00–0.232:370.06–0.210:450.00–0.004:020.00–0.232:440.06–0.140:390.00–0.000:470.00–0.25
Karlsson–Chabot2:180.00–0.132:240.01–0.071:400.07–0.080:400.00–0.003:170.00–0.541:570.08–0.112:180.00–0.09
Borowiecki–Ceci2:220.00–0.130:400.07–0.061:500.00–0.180:300.13–0.002:290.00–0.001:570.01–0.201:360.20–0.06
Borowiecki–Chabot0:360.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:280.00–0.001:050.00–0.001:520.01–0.00
Oduya–Ceci0:410.00–0.001:200.20–0.021:060.20–0.02
Phaneuf–Karlsson1:080.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Phaneuf–Borowiecki1:490.05–0.020:480.00–0.000:510.05–0.00
Ceci–Chabot1:030.00–0.000:350.00–0.02
Karlsson–Borowiecki0:370.00–0.080:530.00–0.08
Oduya–Phaneuf1:020.07–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDzingel FBrassard FStone FDuchene FHoffman FRyan FPyatt FSmith FWhite FBurrows FChlapik FDumont FOduya DKarlsson DPhaneuf DCeci DChabot DBorowiecki DAnderson GMarleau FKadri FKomarov FMatthews FHyman FNylander FBozak Fvan Riemsdyk FBrown FMartin FGauthier FMarner FPolak DBorgman DGardiner DHainsey DCarrick DDermott DAndersen G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonOTT3427:060:482:2346
Cody CeciOTT3024:510:502:0734
Ron HainseyTOR3024:200:491:4249
Jake GardinerTOR2824:030:521:4254
Mark StoneOTT2821:290:461:4264
Bobby RyanOTT2719:300:431:2953
Derick BrassardOTT2419:280:491:4252
Mike HoffmanOTT2519:250:472:0883
Matt DucheneOTT2619:170:452:1962
Patrick MarleauTOR2519:110:461:1635
Connor CarrickTOR2218:570:521:2410
Dion PhaneufOTT2818:400:401:0554
Connor BrownTOR2318:100:471:4071
Ryan DzingelOTT2017:530:541:5813
Nazem KadriTOR2517:520:431:2224
Auston MatthewsTOR2417:480:451:0741
William NylanderTOR2317:370:461:0851
Roman PolakTOR2617:120:401:1913
Tyler BozakTOR2317:090:451:4471
Leo KomarovTOR2616:540:391:1427
Travis DermottTOR2216:370:451:3021
Johnny OduyaOTT2316:160:421:2725
Zach HymanTOR2616:140:371:0533
Zack SmithOTT2215:500:431:1233
Thomas ChabotOTT2415:400:391:1032
Tom PyattOTT2315:220:401:1133
James van RiemsdykTOR2014:300:441:4451
Andreas BorgmanTOR2113:430:391:1612
Mark BorowieckiOTT2513:280:321:1253
Mitch MarnerTOR2112:170:351:0930
Alexandre BurrowsOTT1710:220:371:0631
Colin WhiteOTT159:270:380:5624
Frederik GauthierTOR148:100:350:5711
Filip ChlapikOTT136:140:291:0401
Gabriel DumontOTT135:580:280:5201
Matt MartinTOR115:580:330:5310