Sat, Jan 20, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Ottawa Senators 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 71% of the time.
19%
10%
64%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:20 | 0.00 | 85.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24:03 | 0.04 | 89.0% | +54.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.08 | 69.0% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.18 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.21 | 53.6% | +33.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:48 | 0.52 | 80.4% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:37 | 0.33 | 80.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.10 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.22 | 86.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 49.2% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.04 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.46 | 84.5% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.22 | 88.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.01 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:17 | 0.30 | 46.3% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:10 | 0.04 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:58 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 15 | 3 | .833 | 1.66 | −1.3 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 27:06 | 0.17 | 9.3% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 24:51 | 0.00 | 45.1% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.18 | 10.6% | +32.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:30 | 0.27 | 58.8% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:28 | 0.00 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.21 | 61.4% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.14 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.05 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 17:53 | 0.04 | 9.1% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:16 | 0.21 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 20.2% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 10.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.16 | 10.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:28 | 0.13 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 | 0.05 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.01 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:14 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:58 | 0.01 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 2.88 | −1.1 | 58:24 |