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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 13, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 5

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 0:33Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Domingue
  4. P1 1:25Shot by Nelson, saved by Domingue
  5. P1 1:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Domingue
  6. P1 4:26Shot by Pouliot, saved by Domingue
  7. P1 4:54Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 5:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 5:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Domingue
  10. P1 6:25Goal by Baptiste (Girgensons)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Josefson, Girgensons, Baptiste, Nelson · TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Johnson, Erne, Sergachev

  11. P1 7:11Shot by Coburn, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 9:07Shot by Pouliot, saved by Domingue
  13. P1 9:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 9:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 10:10Shot by Wilson, saved by Domingue
  16. P1 12:10Wilson: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Beaulieu, Ristolainen · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  17. P1 12:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson4v5
  18. P1 12:16Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson4v5
  19. P1 12:32Shot by Hedman, saved by Johnson4v5
  20. P1 13:23Goal by Gourde (Kucherov, Hedman)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Falk, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Gourde

  21. P1 13:33Shot by Point, saved by Johnson
  22. P1 16:12Girgensons: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Beaulieu, Ristolainen · TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Johnson, Namestnikov, Gourde, Sergachev

  23. P1 16:28Shot by Stamkos, saved by Johnson4v5
  24. P1 16:43Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Johnson4v5
  25. P1 18:28Shot by Peca, saved by Johnson
  26. P1 19:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Domingue
  27. P1 0:00Koekkoek: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Ristolainen · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Kucherov, Koekkoek, Point

  28. P1 0:00Period end
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 1:15Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Domingue5v4
  31. P2 1:16Goal by Reinhart (O'Reilly, Rodrigues)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · TBL Stralman, Killorn, Hedman, Point

  32. P2 2:07Erne: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Josefson, Wilson, Baptiste, Nelson · TBL Stamkos, Gourde, Koekkoek, Dotchin, Erne

  33. P2 2:51Shot by Okposo, saved by Domingue5v4
  34. P2 4:46Shot by Kunitz, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 5:06Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 5:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Johnson
  37. P2 6:49Larsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Falk, Larsson, Wilson, Antipin · TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Hedman, Peca

  38. P2 6:56Girgensons: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Scandella, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TBL Callahan, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  39. P2 7:24Shot by Point, saved by Johnson3v5
  40. P2 9:27Shot by Girgensons, saved by Domingue
  41. P2 8:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Domingue3v5
  42. P2 10:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  43. P2 11:50Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Domingue
  44. P2 12:03Shot by Killorn, saved by Johnson
  45. P2 13:08Shot by Wilson, saved by Domingue
  46. P2 13:19Goal by Namestnikov, unassisted+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Nelson, Antipin · TBL Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Namestnikov, Gourde

  47. P2 14:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Domingue
  48. P2 14:51Shot by Kane, saved by Domingue
  49. P2 15:47Goal by Wilson (Nelson, Antipin)+24 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pominville, Larsson, Wilson, Nelson, Antipin · TBL Stralman, Peca, Namestnikov, Koekkoek, Erne

  50. P2 17:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Johnson
  51. P2 19:27Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  52. P2 19:44Shot by Reinhart, saved by Domingue
  53. P2 19:50Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Domingue
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:49Shot by Stralman, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 2:21Dotchin: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Pouliot, Larsson, Reinhart, Nelson, Antipin · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Gourde, Dotchin, Erne

  58. P3 2:55Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Domingue5v4
  59. P3 2:58Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Domingue5v4
  60. P3 3:30Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Domingue5v4
  61. P3 3:41Goal by O'Reilly (Okposo, Ristolainen)5v4+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Rodrigues · TBL Callahan, Girardi, Killorn, Hedman

  62. P3 3:55Shot by Falk, saved by Domingue
  63. P3 5:15Shot by Nelson, saved by Domingue
  64. P3 5:40Shot by Pouliot, saved by Domingue
  65. P3 6:49Shot by Point, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 9:32Okposo: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, Kane, Rodrigues, Nelson · TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Stralman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Dotchin

  67. P3 10:54Shot by Josefson, saved by Domingue4v5
  68. P3 11:10Shot by Callahan, saved by Johnson4v5
  69. P3 11:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Johnson
  70. P3 11:36Goal by Callahan (Sergachev, Point)+11 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Scandella, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen · TBL Callahan, Johnson, Gourde, Point, Sergachev

  71. P3 11:48Shot by Erne, saved by Johnson
  72. P3 12:15Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Domingue
  73. P3 14:14Shot by Reinhart, saved by Domingue
  74. P3 14:43Shot by Scandella, saved by Domingue
  75. P3 19:52Goal by Reinhart (O'Reilly)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Pouliot, Scandella, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart · TBL Girardi, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point

  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final