Tue, Feb 13, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
67%
8%
19%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29:08 | 0.32 | 52.0% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:47 | 0.54 | 50.7% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.43 | 63.8% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:56 | 0.01 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.12 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:10 | 0.03 | 47.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.09 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.28 | 79.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.35 | 50.6% | +10.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.45 | 62.5% | +23.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.03 | 85.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.03 | 51.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:09 | 0.03 | 53.3% | +10.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:58 | 0.11 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.01 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:37 | 0.10 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:26 | 0.06 | 79.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 28 | 4 | .875 | 3.40 | −0.6 | 58:31 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28:26 | 0.57 | 37.9% | +11.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 24:41 | 0.81 | 32.4% | +32.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:11 | 0.11 | 53.5% | +23.8 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:52 | 1.24 | 41.0% | +21.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.02 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:42 | 0.06 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.35 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.18 | 38.2% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.01 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.21 | 18.6% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.06 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:06 | 0.00 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:50 | 0.41 | 59.7% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.21 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 | 0.00 | 44.2% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.05 | 69.4% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.02 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:36 | 0.21 | 100.0% | +20.1 |
| W | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.98 | 0.0 | 60:00 |