Tue, Feb 13, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.
67%
8%
19%
BUF winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Killorn–Kucherov–Point | Stamkos–Johnson–Gourde | Peca–Namestnikov–Erne | Stamkos–Namestnikov–Gourde | Kunitz–Callahan–Stamkos | Kunitz–Callahan–Namestnikov | Johnson–Gourde–Erne | Stamkos–Kucherov–Namestnikov | Johnson–Peca–Erne | Johnson–Peca–Gourde | Kunitz–Callahan–Peca | Kunitz–Callahan–Johnson | Kunitz–Peca–Erne | Hedman–Dotchin | Stralman–Hedman | Girardi–Sergachev | Stralman–Sergachev | Coburn–Dotchin | Coburn–Stralman | Coburn–Girardi | Girardi–Koekkoek | Hedman–Koekkoek | Stralman–Girardi | Girardi–Hedman | Coburn–Koekkoek | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pouliot–O'Reilly–Reinhart | 1:240.06–0.21 | 2:580.12–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 0:560.02–0.18 | 0:490.00–0.01 | 1:080.02–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 0:310.12–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.11 | 4:140.02–0.28 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:510.12–0.00 | 0:540.05–0.00 | 1:000.12–0.00 | 1:190.02–0.12 | |||||||||
| Okposo–Kane–Rodrigues | 3:390.05–0.06 | 2:370.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 1:050.02–0.00 | 1:080.07–0.03 | 1:440.04–0.00 | 1:570.02–0.02 | 1:310.00–0.03 | 1:090.00–0.14 | 1:040.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pominville–Larsson–Wilson | 2:430.23–0.17 | 0:460.00–0.05 | 1:000.03–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:120.21–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 0:460.06–0.02 | 2:440.00–0.03 | 1:110.33–0.26 | 0:550.00–0.11 | 1:080.07–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Josefson–Girgensons–Baptiste | 2:530.02–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:380.21–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:010.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Beaulieu–Ristolainen | 5:490.12–0.28 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.21 | 2:450.01–0.00 | 1:440.07–0.03 | 0:470.04–0.00 | 1:460.03–0.02 | 1:060.05–0.01 | 0:580.06–0.14 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 1:450.02–0.23 | ||||||||
| Scandella–Nelson | 2:020.02–0.11 | 4:270.12–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.18 | 0:480.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:110.02–0.06 | 0:330.12–0.00 | 2:510.02–0.25 | 2:230.12–0.00 | 0:520.21–0.11 | 1:100.00–0.05 | 1:140.02–0.00 | 0:550.12–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Falk–Antipin | 1:130.00–0.00 | 2:500.00–0.03 | 1:020.08–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 1:200.01–0.00 | 0:410.02–0.00 | 3:060.02–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Nelson–Antipin | 0:390.00–0.01 | 0:450.00–0.01 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Beaulieu–Nelson | 0:480.00–0.07 | 0:550.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.07 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Falk–Ristolainen | 1:070.20–0.00 | 1:180.20–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Falk–Nelson | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Scandella–Ristolainen | 0:310.06–0.00 | 0:360.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Falk–Beaulieu | 0:320.00–0.19 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 29:08 | 1:13 | 2:44 | 4 | 5 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 26 | 28:26 | 1:06 | 2:10 | 3 | 5 |
 Ryan O'ReillyBUF | 29 | 24:41 | 0:51 | 1:48 | 5 | 8 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 23:47 | 1:05 | 2:31 | 3 | 1 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 22:47 | 1:02 | 2:31 | 1 | 1 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 24 | 21:56 | 0:55 | 1:22 | 3 | 0 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 20:43 | 0:57 | 2:31 | 6 | 5 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 23 | 20:11 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 3 | 2 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 20 | 19:52 | 1:00 | 1:54 | 4 | 1 |
 Anton StralmanTBL | 24 | 19:10 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 1 | 5 |
 Marco ScandellaBUF | 22 | 18:52 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 2 | 5 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 18 | 17:42 | 0:59 | 1:37 | 2 | 1 |
 Tyler JohnsonTBL | 21 | 17:37 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 Benoit PouliotBUF | 22 | 17:19 | 0:47 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 19 | 17:00 | 0:54 | 1:48 | 6 | 2 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 19 | 16:52 | 0:53 | 1:27 | 2 | 2 |
 Dan GirardiTBL | 21 | 16:41 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 2 | 4 |
 Justin FalkBUF | 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 1 | 2 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 17 | 16:31 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 7 | 1 |
 Evander KaneBUF | 17 | 15:32 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 6 | 2 |
 Ryan CallahanTBL | 15 | 14:38 | 0:59 | 2:57 | 1 | 7 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovTBL | 18 | 14:23 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 5 | 5 |
 Jake DotchinTBL | 15 | 14:23 | 0:58 | 2:03 | 1 | 6 |
 Braydon CoburnTBL | 16 | 14:14 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 3 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 22 | 14:06 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 2 | 4 |
 Scott WilsonBUF | 17 | 12:50 | 0:45 | 1:27 | 2 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 14 | 12:09 | 0:52 | 1:15 | 2 | 1 |
 Matthew PecaTBL | 14 | 11:58 | 0:51 | 2:21 | 1 | 3 |
 Jason PominvilleBUF | 17 | 11:56 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor AntipinBUF | 15 | 11:38 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 2 |
 Chris KunitzTBL | 15 | 10:24 | 0:42 | 0:58 | 1 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 18 | 10:15 | 0:34 | 1:00 | 0 | 2 |
 Jacob JosefsonBUF | 17 | 9:46 | 0:34 | 0:55 | 0 | 1 |
 Adam ErneTBL | 16 | 9:37 | 0:36 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick BaptisteBUF | 14 | 7:36 | 0:33 | 0:51 | 0 | 1 |
 Slater KoekkoekTBL | 11 | 6:26 | 0:35 | 1:17 | 1 | 2 |