Sat, Feb 17, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
45%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:23 | 0.08 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:11 | 0.00 | 42.7% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.07 | 54.1% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.08 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.07 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:22 | 0.38 | 69.6% | +23.1 |
 Tyler BozakC · #42 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 18:02 | 0.21 | 57.9% | +37.1 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.29 | 28.6% | +23.1 |
 Roman PolakD · #46 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.01 | 48.0% | +17.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.25 | 22.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 16:56 | 0.12 | 25.2% | 0.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.09 | 49.9% | +17.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 15:42 | 0.53 | 57.1% | +43.1 |
 James van RiemsdykLW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.22 | 81.1% | +20.1 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 15:20 | 0.71 | 56.7% | 0.0 |
 Leo KomarovRW · #47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:51 | 0.00 | 7.2% | 0.0 |
 Dominic MooreC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 39 | 34 | 5 | .872 | 2.86 | −2.1 | 57:38 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Kris LetangD · #58 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 26:03 | 0.41 | 49.7% | +29.1 |
 Brian DumoulinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:22 | 0.02 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Sidney CrosbyC · #87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:25 | 0.22 | 45.1% | 0.0 |
 Evgeni MalkinC · #71 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 19:31 | 0.13 | 64.7% | +44.4 |
 Phil KesselRW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:21 | 0.44 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Jamie OleksiakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.07 | 56.0% | 0.0 |
 Carl HagelinLW · #62 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:45 | 0.26 | 61.6% | +37.1 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 17:42 | 0.10 | 76.2% | +21.9 |
 Bryan RustRW · #17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.30 | 61.3% | +44.4 |
 Olli MaattaD · #3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:22 | 0.05 | 32.9% | +28.3 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:17 | 0.45 | 49.8% | +21.9 |
 Matt HunwickD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.03 | 19.0% | +28.3 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.12 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Riley SheahanC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.11 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Dominik SimonC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.12 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
 Carter RowneyC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:48 | 0.00 | 50.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:56 | 0.02 | 24.6% | +28.3 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.12 | +0.1 | 60:00 |