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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 6, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Florida Panthers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 62% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 3:20Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 3:18Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Point, saved by Luongo
  6. P1 5:00Shot by McCann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:02Shot by Brickley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 5:07Coburn: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Sustr, Cirelli · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Haley, Petrovic, Weegar

  9. P1 5:07Haley: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Callahan, Sustr, Cirelli · FLA MacKenzie, Sceviour, Haley, Petrovic, Weegar

  10. P1 5:42Shot by Petrovic, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Miller, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 7:21Shot by Sergachev, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 8:42Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 9:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  15. P1 10:15Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P1 10:38Goal by Gourde (Sustr, Stralman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Miller, Gourde, Sustr, Point · FLA Brickley, Pysyk, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson

  17. P1 12:09Shot by Ekblad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 12:14Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 12:21Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 12:51Goal by Miller (Gourde)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Miller, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · FLA McGinn, Pysyk, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson

  21. P1 13:05Shot by Mamin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 14:10Shot by Callahan, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 15:04Stamkos: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Bjugstad, Barkov, Ekblad

  24. P1 15:21Shot by Barkov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  25. P1 15:57Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  26. P1 16:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P1 16:59Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P1 18:23Goal by Bjugstad (Ekblad, Dadonov)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sustr · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Bjugstad, Barkov, Ekblad

  29. P1 19:00Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P1 19:58Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P1 15:47Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo4v5
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 0:12Shot by Killorn, saved by Luongo
  35. P2 0:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Luongo
  36. P2 1:27Goal by Gourde (Miller)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Miller, Gourde, Point, Sergachev · FLA McGinn, Pysyk, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson

  37. P2 4:25Shot by McCann, saved by Vasilevskiy
  38. P2 4:29Shot by Sustr, saved by Luongo
  39. P2 6:01Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 8:10Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 8:45Shot by Conacher, saved by Luongo
  42. P2 8:53Shot by Brickley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 9:17Shot by Sceviour, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 10:21Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo
  45. P2 10:22Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 11:22Shot by Brickley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 11:21Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 12:48Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 13:19Shot by Haley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 13:25Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 13:31Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 13:35Goal by Bjugstad (Dadonov, Yandle)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Bjugstad, Barkov, Ekblad

  53. P2 16:05Shot by Stamkos, saved by Luongo
  54. P2 16:07Goal by Killorn (Stamkos, Kucherov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Sergachev · FLA McGinn, Pysyk, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Matheson

  55. P2 16:18Shot by Stralman, saved by Luongo
  56. P2 16:21Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo
  57. P2 17:00Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P2 17:59Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P2 19:53Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:21Goal by Bjugstad (Matheson, Barkov)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, Hedman, Miller, Gourde, Point · FLA Dadonov, Petrovic, Bjugstad, Matheson, Barkov

  63. P3 0:54Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 1:19Shot by Stralman, saved by Luongo
  65. P3 3:23Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Vasilevskiy
  66. P3 3:53Sustr: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Miller, Gourde, Sustr, Point · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Bjugstad, Barkov, Ekblad

  67. P3 4:01Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  68. P3 5:04Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  69. P3 5:17Shot by Trocheck, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  70. P3 5:25Goal by Trocheck (Yandle, Barkov)4v5+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Miller · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Trocheck, Huberdeau, Barkov

  71. P3 5:40Shot by Sergachev, saved by Luongo
  72. P3 5:50Shot by Erne, saved by Luongo
  73. P3 6:22Shot by Pysyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 6:24Shot by Brickley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  75. P3 6:48Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 6:59Shot by Point, saved by Luongo
  77. P3 7:21Shot by Matheson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 7:44Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luongo
  79. P3 9:52Shot by Hedman, saved by Luongo
  80. P3 11:45Shot by Kucherov, saved by Luongo
  81. P3 12:06Shot by Mamin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 12:49Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  83. P3 15:41Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Vasilevskiy
  84. P3 15:57Shot by Kunitz, saved by Luongo
  85. P3 16:03Shot by McGinn, saved by Vasilevskiy
  86. P3 16:31Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  87. P3 16:42Shot by Yandle, saved by Vasilevskiy
  88. P3 19:08Shot by Girardi, saved by Luongo
  89. P3 19:11Shot by Gourde, saved by Luongo
  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. OT 0:00Period start
  92. OT 0:34Shot by Dadonov, saved by Vasilevskiy3v3
  93. OT 2:49Goal by Point (Stralman, Johnson)3v3+43 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Johnson, Point · FLA Yandle, Dadonov, Barkov

  94. OT 2:49Period end3v3
  95. OT 2:49Final3v3