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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 20, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:23Shot by Johnsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:06Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:47Shot by Bozak, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:43Shot by Sergachev, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 7:28Shot by Miller, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 8:29Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 9:58Shot by Plekanec, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:05Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 10:48Shot by Hainsey, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 12:24Shot by Plekanec, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:21Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 15:06Goal by van Riemsdyk (Marner, Carrick)5v6+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Gourde, Erne, Sergachev · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Carrick, Brown, Dermott, Marner

  16. P1 15:59Shot by Leivo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  17. P1 16:04Leivo: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Cirelli · TOR Hyman, Leivo, Carrick, Nylander, Dermott

  18. P1 16:04Callahan: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Callahan, Girardi, McDonagh, Cirelli · TOR Hyman, Leivo, Carrick, Nylander, Dermott

  19. P1 17:42Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  20. P1 19:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 19:31Kucherov: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Miller · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander

  22. P1 0:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end4v5
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:28Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  26. P2 1:11Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  27. P2 1:19Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  28. P2 1:29Goal by van Riemsdyk (Bozak, Kadri)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, McDonagh, Johnson, Cirelli · TOR van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Kadri, Marner

  29. P2 1:40Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 1:45Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 4:57Brown: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Coburn, Erne, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Hainsey, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown

  32. P2 6:40Shot by Gourde, saved by Andersen5v4
  33. P2 8:04Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 8:16Shot by Palat, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 9:02Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 9:48Shot by Killorn, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 10:36Stamkos: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller, Sergachev · TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly, Marner

  38. P2 9:38Shot by Cirelli, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 10:40Shot by Marner, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  40. P2 11:13Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  41. P2 12:41Shot by Rielly, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 14:25Shot by Dermott, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 15:41Goal by Hyman, unassisted+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Point, Sergachev · TOR Polak, Gardiner, Hyman, Johnsson, Nylander

  44. P2 16:03Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 16:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 16:40Goal by Hedman (Stamkos, Erne)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kunitz, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Erne · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly

  47. P2 17:08Shot by Hyman, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 17:37Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 19:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 19:28Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 1:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 1:24Goal by McDonagh (Gourde, Sergachev)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak, Brown

  55. P3 2:23Shot by Kunitz, saved by Andersen
  56. P3 2:32Shot by Erne, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 3:32Goal by Kucherov, unassisted+30 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Girardi, McDonagh, Stamkos, Kucherov, Miller · TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Hyman, Rielly, Nylander

  58. P3 5:37Shot by Gardiner, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 7:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 8:24Shot by Kadri, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 9:14Goal by Killorn (Cirelli, Gourde)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Hedman, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander

  62. P3 9:50Shot by Brown, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 10:15Shot by Stralman, saved by Andersen
  64. P3 9:54Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 11:46Cirelli: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Gourde, Cirelli, Sergachev · TOR Hyman, Carrick, Johnsson, Nylander, Dermott

  66. P3 13:26Shot by Leivo, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final