Tue, Mar 20, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.
29%
10%
52%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:20 | 0.32 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.08 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:55 | 0.22 | 33.6% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.12 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.02 | 21.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.44 | 42.4% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.11 | 32.4% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.31 | 46.8% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.04 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 48.4% | +18.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.09 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:03 | 0.51 | 55.9% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.14 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:51 | 0.24 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:39 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:20 | 0.21 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.22 | −1.8 | 57:36 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:08 | 0.16 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.07 | 53.2% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.12 | 57.8% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.08 | 74.0% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.02 | 52.1% | +29.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.36 | 64.4% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.14 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 15:58 | 0.11 | 53.1% | +45.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:29 | 0.51 | 74.2% | +29.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:12 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.09 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.15 | 64.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.01 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:14 | 0.18 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:01 | 0.22 | 76.2% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:53 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.85 | −0.1 | 60:00 |