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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 24, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Detroit Red Wings

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard
  4. P1 3:50Helm: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, Larkin

  5. P1 3:50Hyman: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Nylander, Matthews, Zaitsev · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, Larkin

  6. P1 4:25Shot by Glendening, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 4:28Shot by Ericsson, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 5:45Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 5:53Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  10. P1 6:11Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 6:14Brown: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Jensen, Athanasiou

  12. P1 6:18Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen4v5
  13. P1 7:18Shot by Frk, saved by Andersen4v5
  14. P1 7:25Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen4v5
  15. P1 8:02Bertuzzi: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Plekanec, Rielly, Johnsson, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Bertuzzi

  16. P1 9:19Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard5v4
  17. P1 9:26Helm: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · DET Daley, Nielsen, Ericsson, Helm

  18. P1 9:50Shot by Marner, saved by Howard5v3
  19. P1 9:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Howard5v3
  20. P1 10:48Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard5v4
  21. P1 11:20Shot by Bozak, saved by Howard5v4
  22. P1 11:44Shot by Hainsey, saved by Howard
  23. P1 12:28Shot by Dermott, saved by Howard
  24. P1 13:45Shot by Witkowski, saved by Andersen
  25. P1 14:30Goal by Kapanen (Bozak, van Riemsdyk)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Kapanen, Dermott · DET Ericsson, Jensen, Frk, Athanasiou, Svechnikov

  26. P1 14:41Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard
  27. P1 15:00Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  28. P1 15:30Shot by Polak, saved by Howard
  29. P1 15:50Shot by Dermott, saved by Howard
  30. P1 16:52Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Howard
  31. P1 17:26Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  32. P1 19:40Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:17Shot by Marleau, saved by Howard
  36. P2 1:00Shot by Daley, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 1:14Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  38. P2 1:29Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 4:32Goal by Larkin (Mantha)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, Larkin

  40. P2 5:22Shot by Frk, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 5:25Shot by Frk, saved by Andersenother
  42. P2 5:37Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 5:47Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard
  44. P2 6:32Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  45. P2 6:39Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 7:08Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 8:03Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 9:37Goal by Bertuzzi (DeKeyser, Zetterberg)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen · DET Zetterberg, Nyquist, Jensen, DeKeyser, Bertuzzi

  49. P2 10:32Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 10:45Shot by Nielsen, saved by Andersen
  51. P2 11:10Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  52. P2 12:16Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  53. P2 12:20Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  54. P2 12:31Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 13:03Shot by Gardiner, saved by Howard
  56. P2 14:19Goal by Brown (Dermott, Rielly)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Rielly, Brown, Dermott · DET Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Nyquist, Bertuzzi

  57. P2 15:15Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  58. P2 15:32Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  59. P2 17:02Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  60. P2 17:24Zetterberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Plekanec, Rielly, Johnsson, Kapanen · DET Zetterberg, Daley, Ericsson, Nyquist, Bertuzzi

  61. P2 17:39Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Howard5v4
  62. P2 19:12Shot by Johnsson, saved by Howard5v4
  63. P2 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Period start
  65. P3 0:58Shot by Mantha, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 1:17Shot by Larkin, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 2:20Shot by Ericsson, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 2:43Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 2:51Shot by Jensen, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 4:18Shot by Ericsson, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 4:58Goal by Nielsen (Witkowski, Kronwall)+31 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Polak, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Brown, Dermott · DET Kronwall, Nielsen, Abdelkader, Witkowski, Athanasiou

  72. P3 6:40Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  73. P3 6:44Shot by Nylander, saved by Howard
  74. P3 7:27Goal by Nylander (Matthews)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews · DET Helm, Jensen, DeKeyser, Mantha, Larkin

  75. P3 8:11Shot by Kronwall, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 9:30Shot by Kapanen, saved by Howard6v5
  77. P3 9:47Daley: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · DET Daley, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha, Larkin

  78. P3 11:21Shot by Kadri, saved by Howard5v4
  79. P3 12:05Shot by Helm, saved by Andersen
  80. P3 12:19Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  81. P3 12:34Goal by Kadri (Marleau, Marner)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Marner, Zaitsev · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Nyquist, Witkowski, Bertuzzi

  82. P3 16:24Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersen
  83. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  84. P3 0:00Final5v6