Sat, Mar 24, 2018·Air Canada Centre, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
46%
8%
39%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.10 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.08 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 | 0.03 | 61.1% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19:54 | 0.67 | 61.6% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:47 | 0.03 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:28 | 0.05 | 61.3% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.20 | 66.7% | +22.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 17:27 | 0.53 | 78.2% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:14 | 0.22 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.25 | 54.6% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.17 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:54 | 0.35 | 59.5% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:37 | 0.30 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 40.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.10 | 56.2% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.05 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 7:49 | 0.76 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:35 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 4.14 | +0.1 | 58:34 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.29 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:36 | 0.04 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.41 | 47.6% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:06 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.00 | 26.5% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.41 | 26.3% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.30 | 34.8% | +20.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:29 | 0.32 | 21.0% | +31.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17:25 | 0.53 | 46.5% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.37 | 36.5% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.04 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:32 | 0.00 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:43 | 0.21 | 23.6% | +31.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:36 | 0.16 | 63.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.28 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.20 | 26.3% | +24.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:49 | 0.38 | 44.8% | +20.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 3.92 | +0.9 | 59:40 |