Sat, Oct 6, 2018·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
9%
36%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cody CeciD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 | 0.05 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
 Maxime LajoieD · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.03 | 14.6% | 0.0 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 21:31 | 0.69 | 76.1% | +64.8 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:08 | 0.17 | 28.0% | +1.7 |
 Dylan DeMeloD · #2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.11 | 76.8% | +18.3 |
 Mark StoneRW · #61 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.77 | 64.3% | +1.7 |
 Ryan DzingelC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 | 0.33 | 38.3% | +20.9 |
 Chris TierneyC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.09 | 60.3% | +20.9 |
 Mark BorowieckiD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.02 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 Bobby RyanRW · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.09 | 43.7% | +26.3 |
 Chris WidemanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.04 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Mikkel BoedkerLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.19 | 65.7% | +20.3 |
 Zack SmithC · #15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:59 | 0.00 | 54.6% | +38.5 |
 Colin WhiteC · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.11 | 16.3% | 0.0 |
 Tom PyattLW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Magnus PaajarviLW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 27.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex FormentonLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:22 | 0.23 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Paul CareyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:03 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 3.27 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22:54 | 0.16 | 60.6% | +42.4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.06 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.03 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20:20 | 0.47 | 57.5% | +42.0 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.05 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.45 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 19:06 | 0.54 | 60.0% | +42.4 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.02 | 94.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:08 | 0.06 | 61.8% | +19.9 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 16:29 | 0.37 | 56.7% | +19.4 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.12 | 46.4% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:22 | 0.10 | 60.0% | +19.4 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 13:28 | 0.32 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Igor OzhiganovD · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.02 | 40.0% | 0.0 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.04 | 55.0% | 0.0 |
 Josh LeivoLW · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.10 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Par LindholmC · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:39 | 0.28 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Andreas JohnssonLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:24 | 0.09 | 67.1% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 23 | 19 | 4 | .826 | 2.34 | −1.7 | 56:46 |