Sat, Oct 6, 2018·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 55% of the time.
47%
8%
9%
36%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Smith–Boedker–Stone | Ryan–Tierney–Formenton | Duchene–Dzingel–White | Pyatt–Carey–Paajarvi | Duchene–Paajarvi–Dzingel | Pyatt–Smith–Paajarvi | Duchene–Stone–Dzingel | Ceci–Lajoie | DeMelo–Chabot | Borowiecki–Wideman | Borowiecki–Ceci | Borowiecki–DeMelo | Wideman–Chabot | Ceci–Chabot | Wideman–Lajoie | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Hyman–Marner | 4:090.12–0.02 | 1:590.11–0.15 | 2:470.35–0.05 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:040.03–0.05 | 7:250.54–0.07 | 1:440.03–0.27 | 2:460.15–0.05 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | |||||
| Marleau–Ennis–Matthews | 2:300.08–0.36 | 2:350.13–0.00 | 2:460.50–0.11 | 0:550.07–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.06 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:290.23–0.06 | 1:130.00–0.34 | 5:250.53–0.13 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | ||||
| Kadri–Leivo–Brown | 2:040.02–0.08 | 2:250.14–0.21 | 1:240.16–0.00 | 1:090.27–0.00 | 3:180.13–0.39 | 1:310.00–0.00 | 0:360.02–0.00 | ||||||||
| Johnsson–Kapanen–Lindholm | 0:430.16–0.01 | 1:330.09–0.09 | 1:440.04–0.00 | 1:410.18–0.01 | 3:290.16–0.09 | 0:340.09–0.00 | |||||||||
| Marleau–Kadri–Matthews | 0:430.02–0.00 | 0:430.02–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ennis–Leivo–Matthews | 0:330.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 1:480.07–0.41 | 2:030.07–0.09 | 4:570.75–0.16 | 1:190.00–0.00 | 2:350.13–0.11 | 5:370.51–0.10 | 1:550.00–0.49 | 5:260.57–0.30 | 1:030.06–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Hainsey–Rielly | 6:480.21–0.04 | 1:510.11–0.00 | 1:370.27–0.00 | 0:530.04–0.00 | 5:440.49–0.04 | 3:490.16–0.00 | 1:490.03–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.00 | |||||||
| Dermott–Ozhiganov | 0:580.08–0.00 | 3:300.17–0.36 | 0:480.16–0.00 | 1:400.07–0.00 | 2:260.27–0.00 | 3:370.13–0.21 | 1:230.07–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.19 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||
| Rielly–Dermott | 1:060.12–0.00 | 2:020.03–0.17 | 0:330.11–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Gardiner–Dermott | 1:080.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Rielly–Ozhiganov | 1:090.02–0.10 | 0:380.03–0.36 | |||||||||||||
| Hainsey–Zaitsev | |||||||||||||||
| Dermott–Zaitsev | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.03 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 27 | 22:54 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 7 | 4 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 28 | 22:16 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 3 | 5 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 24 | 22:13 | 0:56 | 2:17 | 2 | 2 |
 Cody CeciOTT | 27 | 22:00 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 2 | 7 |
 Maxime LajoieOTT | 27 | 21:56 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 23 | 21:31 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 3 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 25 | 20:20 | 0:49 | 2:33 | 5 | 3 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 24 | 19:46 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 3 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 26 | 19:37 | 0:45 | 2:01 | 12 | 4 |
 Matt DucheneOTT | 22 | 19:08 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 19:06 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 12 | 2 |
 Dylan DeMeloOTT | 24 | 18:34 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 2 | 4 |
 Mark StoneOTT | 25 | 18:22 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 8 |
 Ryan DzingelOTT | 22 | 18:17 | 0:50 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Chris TierneyOTT | 22 | 18:06 | 0:49 | 2:14 | 6 | 1 |
 Mark BorowieckiOTT | 25 | 17:58 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 3 | 8 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 23 | 17:35 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 5 | 5 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 25 | 17:08 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 9 | 5 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 24 | 16:29 | 0:41 | 1:21 | 5 | 3 |
 Bobby RyanOTT | 22 | 16:19 | 0:45 | 2:01 | 5 | 3 |
 Chris WidemanOTT | 22 | 16:08 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 5 | 4 |
 Mikkel BoedkerOTT | 22 | 15:55 | 0:43 | 1:37 | 5 | 4 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 19 | 15:33 | 0:49 | 2:25 | 5 | 4 |
 Tyler EnnisTOR | 23 | 15:22 | 0:40 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 |
 Zack SmithOTT | 22 | 14:59 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 3 | 8 |
 Colin WhiteOTT | 17 | 14:05 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 19 | 13:28 | 0:43 | 1:20 | 2 | 3 |
 Igor OzhiganovTOR | 18 | 12:38 | 0:42 | 1:38 | 2 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 18 | 12:31 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 2 | 3 |
 Tom PyattOTT | 18 | 12:31 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 1 | 3 |
 Magnus PaajarviOTT | 18 | 12:26 | 0:41 | 1:18 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex FormentonOTT | 15 | 12:22 | 0:49 | 1:13 | 4 | 0 |
 Josh LeivoTOR | 17 | 12:15 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Par LindholmTOR | 16 | 10:39 | 0:40 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 15 | 9:24 | 0:38 | 0:51 | 1 | 2 |
 Paul CareyOTT | 10 | 7:03 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |