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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 10, 2018·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Philadelphia Flyers 7, Ottawa Senators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 68% of the time.

OTT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Smith, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 0:30Shot by Dzingel, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 1:04Boedker: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Borowiecki, Duchene, Wideman, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny, Patrick

  5. P1 1:16Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson4v5
  6. P1 1:18Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson4v5
  7. P1 1:23Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  8. P1 3:25Shot by Weise, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 3:36Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Pickard
  10. P1 3:42MacDonald: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Borowiecki, Duchene, Wideman, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Weise, Raffl, Hagg

  11. P1 5:03Shot by Duchene, saved by Pickard5v4
  12. P1 5:27Shot by Stone, saved by Pickard5v4
  13. P1 6:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 6:44Shot by Formenton, saved by Pickard
  15. P1 6:57Provorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Duchene, DeMelo, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI Simmonds, Couturier, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Provorov

  16. P1 7:19Shot by Laughton, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 8:39Goal by Tkachuk (Tierney, Lajoie)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Wideman, Tierney, Lajoie, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Laughton, Sanheim, Lindblom

  18. P1 9:01DeMelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Smith, Paajarvi, DeMelo, Chabot · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Provorov

  19. P1 9:22Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson4v5
  20. P1 10:01Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson4v5
  21. P1 10:29Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  22. P1 12:15Shot by DeMelo, saved by Pickard
  23. P1 13:21Shot by Boedker, saved by Pickard
  24. P1 13:22Shot by Boedker, saved by Pickard
  25. P1 14:09Wideman: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Smith, Stone, Dzingel, DeMelo, Chabot · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Hagg

  26. P1 14:14Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson4v5
  27. P1 14:44Goal by Voracek (Gostisbehere, Giroux)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Stone, DeMelo · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  28. P1 15:33Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  29. P1 16:30Shot by Hagg, saved by Anderson
  30. P1 16:35Shot by MacDonald, saved by Anderson
  31. P1 16:39Shot by MacDonald, saved by Anderson
  32. P1 17:29Shot by Wideman, saved by Pickard
  33. P1 18:05Raffl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Stone, Dzingel · PHI Lehtera, Weise, Gudas, Raffl, Sanheim

  34. P1 18:14Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson5v4
  35. P1 19:10Shot by Tierney, saved by Pickard5v4
  36. P1 19:18Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Pickard5v4
  37. P1 19:55Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Pickard5v4
  38. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  39. P2 0:00Period start
  40. P2 0:23Shot by Stone, saved by Pickard
  41. P2 1:20Goal by Tkachuk (Boedker, Chabot)+19 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Duchene, DeMelo, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny

  42. P2 2:20Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 3:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Anderson
  44. P2 3:04Goal by Couturier (Gudas, Voracek)+20 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Pyatt, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Sanheim

  45. P2 5:27Shot by Lajoie, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 5:36Shot by Lajoie, saved by Pickard
  47. P2 5:37Shot by Boedker, saved by Pickard
  48. P2 6:35Goal by Voracek (Gudas)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Paajarvi, DeMelo, Tierney, Formenton · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Sanheim

  49. P2 8:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 10:19Formenton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, White, Formenton · PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny

  51. P2 10:19Lehtera: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, White, Formenton · PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny

  52. P2 10:19Lehtera: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, White, Formenton · PHI Lehtera, Gudas, Sanheim, Lindblom, Konecny

  53. P2 10:46Shot by Boedker, saved by Pickard5v4
  54. P2 10:52Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Pickard5v4
  55. P2 11:13Goal by Lajoie (Tierney, Tkachuk)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Wideman, Tierney, Lajoie, Tkachuk · PHI Gudas, Couturier, Raffl, Provorov

  56. P2 12:43Shot by Sanheim, saved by Anderson
  57. P2 13:10Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 14:02Shot by Formenton, saved by Pickard
  59. P2 14:17Hagg: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  60. P2 14:17Formenton: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  61. P2 14:17Ryan: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  62. P2 14:17Lindblom: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  63. P2 14:17Lehtera: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  64. P2 14:17Tierney: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  65. P2 14:17Hagg: Interference (2 min)5v3

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Borowiecki, Wideman, Tierney, Formenton · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  66. P2 15:01Shot by White, saved by Pickard5v4
  67. P2 15:04Dzingel: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Duchene, Stone, Dzingel, White, Chabot · PHI Weise, Gudas, Raffl, Sanheim

  68. P2 15:45Goal by Laughton (Weise, MacDonald)4v4+24 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Duchene, Stone, DeMelo, Chabot · PHI MacDonald, Weise, Laughton, Provorov

  69. P2 16:12Shot by Laughton, saved by Anderson4v4
  70. P2 16:27Shot by Chabot, saved by Pickard4v5
  71. P2 19:46Shot by Ryan, saved by Pickard
  72. P2 0:00Period end
  73. P3 0:00Period start
  74. P3 0:13Shot by Ceci, saved by Pickard
  75. P3 1:29Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Duchene, Wideman, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Sanheim, Vorobyev

  76. P3 1:29Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Duchene, Wideman, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Sanheim, Vorobyev

  77. P3 1:29Laughton: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Duchene, Wideman, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Laughton, Sanheim, Vorobyev

  78. P3 1:56Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  79. P3 2:09Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson4v5
  80. P3 2:42Shot by Lindblom, saved by Anderson4v5
  81. P3 3:10Shot by Provorov, saved by Anderson4v5
  82. P3 3:23Shot by Lindblom, saved by Anderson4v5
  83. P3 3:38Shot by Lindblom, saved by Anderson
  84. P3 4:08Goal by Hagg (Raffl, Weise)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Wideman, Tierney, White, Chabot · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Weise, Raffl, Hagg

  85. P3 5:10Shot by Duchene, saved by Pickard
  86. P3 8:29Stone: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Wideman, Stone, Tkachuk · PHI Simmonds, Lehtera, Gudas, Laughton, Sanheim

  87. P3 8:57Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson4v5
  88. P3 9:11Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson4v5
  89. P3 9:20Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  90. P3 9:53Shot by Sanheim, saved by Anderson4v5
  91. P3 10:04Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson4v5
  92. P3 11:09Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Pickard
  93. P3 11:26Shot by Ryan, saved by Pickard
  94. P3 11:38Shot by Duchene, saved by Pickard
  95. P3 11:58Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Duchene, Wideman, White · PHI MacDonald, Lehtera, Hagg, Lindblom, Konecny

  96. P3 12:35Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Anderson4v5
  97. P3 12:37Goal by Giroux (Gostisbehere, Voracek)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pyatt, Paajarvi, Ceci, Lajoie · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  98. P3 13:18Weise: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Boedker, DeMelo, Tierney, Chabot, Tkachuk · PHI Weise, Gudas, Laughton, Raffl, Sanheim

  99. P3 13:30Shot by Duchene, saved by Pickard5v4
  100. P3 14:44Shot by Laughton, saved by Anderson5v4
  101. P3 15:02Shot by Couturier, saved by Anderson5v4
  102. P3 16:47Shot by Konecny, saved by Anderson
  103. P3 16:58Lehtera: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Duchene, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci, Lajoie · PHI Lehtera, Gostisbehere, Lindblom, Konecny, Provorov

  104. P3 17:06Shot by Tierney, saved by Pickard5v4
  105. P3 17:08Goal by Lajoie (Tierney, Boedker)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Wideman, Tierney, Lajoie, Tkachuk · PHI Weise, Gudas, Laughton, Provorov

  106. P3 17:28Shot by Voracek, saved by Anderson
  107. P3 17:46Shot by Giroux, saved by Anderson
  108. P3 18:08Shot by Dzingel, saved by Pickard6v5
  109. P3 19:25Goal by Laughton (Voracek, Gudas)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Duchene, Wideman, Stone, Dzingel, Lajoie · PHI Voracek, Gudas, Couturier, Laughton, Provorov

  110. P3 0:00Period end
  111. P3 0:00Final