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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 10, 2018·Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Golden Knights 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.

WSH winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Smith–Karlsson–MarchessaultPacioretty–Haula–NosekReaves–Carrier–BellemareEakin–Lindberg–CarpenterHolden–MerrillEngelland–TheodoreMcNabb–MillerMiller–TheodoreEngelland–McNabbHolden–Miller
Oshie–Backstrom–Vrana8:340.27–0.511:340.00–0.251:310.16–0.002:410.25–0.023:510.04–0.234:180.12–0.390:440.04–0.12
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Connolly0:530.07–0.016:310.09–0.411:200.16–0.091:370.38–0.002:390.06–0.265:340.52–0.091:300.05–0.071:190.07–0.08
Eller–Stephenson–Burakovsky0:370.00–0.001:110.00–0.090:490.00–0.033:250.10–0.164:210.10–0.200:420.00–0.000:550.00–0.08
Dowd–Smith-Pelly–Jaskin3:020.06–0.330:550.00–0.001:140.04–0.292:130.02–0.040:480.00–0.01
Dowd–Jaskin–Stephenson0:510.00–0.002:090.15–0.041:360.00–0.041:370.00–0.000:390.15–0.00
Eller–Smith-Pelly–Burakovsky1:510.09–0.040:300.00–0.040:360.01–0.000:400.08–0.00
Niskanen–Orlov11:550.36–0.421:270.00–0.041:510.10–0.132:270.19–0.015:150.27–0.314:460.15–0.123:360.12–0.172:100.05–0.001:110.08–0.000:560.00–0.00
Carlson–Kempny1:220.12–0.236:170.09–0.503:180.22–0.121:450.31–0.031:340.10–0.085:480.44–0.204:290.05–0.410:440.00–0.120:410.15–0.08
Orpik–Djoos0:360.07–0.002:350.20–0.293:370.05–0.144:330.25–0.431:240.00–0.000:550.07–0.00
Orpik–Carlson0:380.07–0.011:360.00–0.211:320.00–0.210:380.07–0.01
Djoos–Kempny1:270.10–0.011:090.00–0.010:360.10–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVrana FBackstrom FOshie FConnolly FKuznetsov FOvechkin FStephenson FEller FBurakovsky FJaskin FSmith-Pelly FDowd FNiskanen DOrlov DKempny DCarlson DOrpik DDjoos DHoltby GSmith FKarlsson FMarchessault FHaula FPacioretty FNosek FEakin FLindberg FCarpenter FCarrier FBellemare FReaves FMcNabb DMiller DEngelland DTheodore DMerrill DHolden DFleury G
WSHVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH2825:550:561:5144
Matt NiskanenWSH2723:460:531:5536
Dmitry OrlovWSH2522:160:531:5525
Deryk EngellandVGK2221:470:591:5017
Shea TheodoreVGK2221:420:592:0854
Nicklas BackstromWSH2420:500:522:0655
Reilly SmithVGK2019:480:591:5043
William KarlssonVGK2019:470:591:5043
T.J. OshieWSH2319:410:512:1765
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2018:520:571:5043
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH1818:401:021:5751
Nick HoldenVGK2718:330:411:1743
Alex OvechkinWSH1817:591:001:5760
Colin MillerVGK2417:550:451:1962
Brayden McNabbVGK2117:290:502:0533
Jon MerrillVGK2417:200:431:1943
Michal KempnyWSH2316:410:441:3513
Tomas NosekVGK1915:560:501:1154
Brooks OrpikWSH2015:200:461:0827
Brett ConnollyWSH1715:000:531:3120
Max PaciorettyVGK1614:520:562:1242
Jakub VranaWSH1814:310:481:5532
Lars EllerWSH1914:230:451:3906
Ryan CarpenterVGK1914:150:451:3152
Pierre-Edouard BellemareVGK1614:010:531:5126
Erik HaulaVGK1714:010:491:1142
Chandler StephensonWSH1813:230:451:1615
Nic DowdWSH2013:000:391:1435
Oscar LindbergVGK1512:510:511:3140
William CarrierVGK1312:110:561:5112
Ryan ReavesVGK1311:240:531:5112
Dmitrij JaskinWSH1311:200:521:1932
Cody EakinVGK1511:070:441:3121
Devante Smith-PellyWSH1810:340:351:0634
Andre BurakovskyWSH1310:260:481:3422
Christian DjoosWSH1310:150:471:1713