Mon, Nov 19, 2018·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 4 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.
60%
25%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 26:56 | 0.03 | 60.2% | +63.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.16 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.17 | 63.3% | +42.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:24 | 0.35 | 50.3% | +53.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:42 | 0.24 | 98.0% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.21 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 15:44 | 0.26 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.41 | 38.0% | +6.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.14 | 54.7% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.05 | 39.8% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:03 | 0.06 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.15 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 14:48 | 0.40 | 97.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.14 | 49.3% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.03 | 40.7% | +50.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.18 | 72.3% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:33 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 36 | 4 | .900 | 4.10 | +0.1 | 60:45 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:24 | 0.05 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:19 | 0.06 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.47 | 51.7% | +25.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:40 | 0.51 | 56.3% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.03 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.03 | 39.0% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:16 | 1.03 | 51.4% | +29.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16:31 | 0.51 | 44.9% | +25.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:20 | 0.14 | 56.2% | +15.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 16:14 | 0.59 | 61.3% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.13 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:42 | 0.31 | 6.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.18 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:57 | 0.01 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.02 | 19.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:11 | 0.00 | 8.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 2.98 | −2.0 | 60:45 |