Fri, Nov 23, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
62%
8%
22%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 27:35 | 0.04 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 25:20 | 0.03 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:17 | 0.06 | 63.2% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:14 | 0.06 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:59 | 0.51 | 61.8% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:55 | 0.26 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:43 | 0.15 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.04 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.35 | 31.3% | +30.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:04 | 0.38 | 74.2% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.04 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.03 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.03 | 58.7% | +26.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.05 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.04 | 40.6% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:15 | 0.29 | 74.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.08 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 40 | 37 | 3 | .925 | 3.63 | +0.6 | 63:06 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 27:19 | 0.34 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24:32 | 0.15 | 48.3% | +94.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.18 | 62.2% | +53.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 20:45 | 1.27 | 52.7% | +94.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:52 | 0.55 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 68.7% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.05 | 45.8% | +41.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.06 | 72.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:00 | 0.20 | 60.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.06 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.01 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.29 | 53.3% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.12 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.15 | 70.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.18 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.44 | +0.4 | 63:06 |