Thu, Nov 29, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:15Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hutton
- P1 1:27Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hutton
- P1 1:37Shot by Gourde, saved by Hutton
- P1 2:27Shot by Cernak, saved by Hutton
- P1 2:43Shot by Girardi, saved by Hutton
- P1 2:49Shot by Hedman, saved by Hutton
- P1 2:57Shot by Girardi, saved by Hutton
- P1 2:59Goal by Girardi (Killorn, Hedman)+14 pts WP
On ice: TBL Girardi, Killorn, Hedman, Miller, Cirelli · BUF Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Elie, Nelson
- P1 3:26Shot by McCabe, saved by Domingue
- P1 8:42Goal by Girgensons (Ristolainen, Elie)+16 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Stamkos, Gourde, Joseph, Sergachev · BUF Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Elie, Ristolainen
- P1 9:17Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Domingue
- P1 9:45Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Bogosian)+18 pts WP
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Johnson, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · BUF Bogosian, Reinhart, Eichel, Thompson, Dahlin
- P1 10:07Shot by Killorn, saved by Hutton
- P1 10:26Shot by Miller, saved by Hutton
- P1 10:28Goal by Killorn (Miller)+18 pts WP
On ice: TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Miller, Cirelli, Sergachev · BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
- P1 11:03Shot by McDonagh, saved by Hutton
- P1 11:12Shot by Paquette, saved by Hutton
- P1 11:44Joseph: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Gourde, Joseph, Sergachev · BUF Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Elie, Nelson
- P1 11:50Eichel: Boarding (2 min)4v5
On ice: TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli · BUF Okposo, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel
- P1 11:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton4v4
- P1 12:45Shot by Dahlin, saved by Domingue4v4
- P1 14:34Shot by Larsson, saved by Domingue
- P1 15:13Shot by Coburn, saved by Hutton
- P1 15:55Goal by Kucherov (Point, Cernak)+18 pts WP
On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · BUF Bogosian, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
- P1 16:32Shot by Okposo, saved by Domingue
- P1 0:00Bogosian: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Palat, Paquette, Sergachev · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Bogosian, Beaulieu, Rodrigues
- P1 0:00Beaulieu: Misconduct (10 min)5v4
On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Palat, Paquette, Sergachev · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Bogosian, Beaulieu, Rodrigues
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 5:23Shot by Cernak, saved by Hutton
- P2 5:39Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Nelson)+21 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Gourde, Point, Cernak, Joseph · BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin
- P2 6:12Shot by Palat, saved by Hutton
- P2 7:10Shot by Miller, saved by Hutton
- P2 8:07Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P2 10:31Shot by Larsson, saved by Domingue
- P2 11:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
- P2 11:43Shot by Killorn, saved by Hutton
- P2 11:45Larsson: High sticking double minor (4 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Girardi, Killorn, Miller, Cirelli · BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Elie
- P2 11:10Shot by Point, saved by Hutton
- P2 13:24Shot by Nelson, saved by Domingue5v4
- P2 14:55Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton5v4
- P2 15:44Shot by Killorn, saved by Hutton5v4
- P2 17:06Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
- P2 17:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Domingue
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:13Shot by Coburn, saved by Hutton
- P3 2:24Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Domingue
- P3 2:29Goal by Thompson (Mittelstadt)+27 pts WP
On ice: TBL Coburn, Girardi, Johnson, Kucherov, Point · BUF Okposo, Nelson, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin
- P3 4:04Shot by Callahan, saved by Hutton
- P3 4:05Larsson: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: TBL Callahan, Hedman, Palat, Paquette, Sergachev · BUF Larsson, Skinner, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Ristolainen
- P3 4:12Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)5v4+27 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Gourde, Point · BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Rodrigues
- P3 4:41Shot by Cernak, saved by Hutton
- P3 5:03Shot by Larsson, saved by Domingue
- P3 5:06Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Domingue
- P3 5:21Shot by Joseph, saved by Hutton
- P3 5:37Killorn: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Miller, Cernak, Cirelli · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Dahlin
- P3 8:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Domingue
- P3 10:02Shot by Bogosian, saved by Domingue
- P3 10:53Shot by Okposo, saved by Domingue
- P3 10:58Shot by Nelson, saved by Domingue
- P3 11:35Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hutton
- P3 12:51Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Domingue
- P3 13:29Shot by Johnson, saved by Hutton
- P3 14:06Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hutton
- P3 14:19Goal by Paquette (Sergachev, Palat)+40 pts WP
On ice: TBL Callahan, Girardi, Palat, Paquette, Sergachev · BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Bogosian, Beaulieu, Rodrigues
- P3 14:59Shot by Girardi, saved by Hutton
- P3 15:09Shot by Palat, saved by Hutton
- P3 15:48Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hutton
- P3 16:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P3 0:00Period end5v6
- P3 0:00Final5v6