Thu, Nov 29, 2018·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
85%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 28:52 | 0.02 | 27.3% | +15.6 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:51 | 0.05 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:05 | 0.03 | 36.0% | +18.3 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.24 | 44.8% | +39.3 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:44 | 0.17 | 47.6% | +39.3 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:17 | 0.12 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Casey NelsonD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:38 | 0.07 | 31.5% | +21.0 |
 Nathan BeaulieuD · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir SobotkaC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 15.0% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.00 | 5.3% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:07 | 0.04 | 33.7% | +15.6 |
 Remi ElieLW · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +15.6 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.23 | 32.0% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.04 | 29.4% | +26.7 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:52 | 0.11 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.07 | 28.2% | +26.7 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:29 | 0.03 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
 Carter Hutton#40 | L | 37 | 32 | 5 | .865 | 3.17 | −1.8 | 58:17 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 26:55 | 0.08 | 71.3% | +41.5 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.08 | 74.9% | 0.0 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:36 | 0.19 | 77.9% | +40.1 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 21:06 | 0.01 | 37.4% | +17.7 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.38 | 45.0% | +45.1 |
 Dan GirardiD · #5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:07 | 1.03 | 64.8% | +14.1 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:21 | 0.21 | 46.7% | 0.0 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.26 | 66.3% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:59 | 0.13 | 51.7% | +17.7 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.14 | 73.6% | +27.4 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.09 | 66.3% | +40.1 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 13:19 | 0.43 | 94.3% | +32.3 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.19 | 70.6% | +40.1 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:13 | 0.08 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 J.T. MillerC · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:50 | 0.28 | 92.9% | +18.3 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.03 | 93.8% | 0.0 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.21 | 78.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:59 | 0.02 | 67.6% | 0.0 |
 Louis Domingue#70 | W | 22 | 18 | 4 | .818 | 1.22 | −2.8 | 60:00 |