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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 4, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Overtime

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 0:46Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:13Shot by Thompson, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 1:21Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  6. P1 1:45Shot by Johnsson, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 4:19Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:51Shot by Ozhiganov, saved by Ullmark
  9. P1 5:36Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:55Shot by Berglund, saved by Andersen
  11. P2 11:19Brown: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Berglund, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Pilut · TOR Kadri, Brown, Johnsson, Dermott, Ozhiganov

  12. P1 7:08Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 7:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  14. P1 8:00Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  15. P2 11:39Thompson: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Thompson · TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev

  16. P1 9:15Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 11:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  18. P1 12:04Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  19. P1 12:47Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  20. P1 14:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 14:08Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 14:15Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  23. P1 18:08Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 0:00Period end
  25. P1 19:56Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:36Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 1:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 2:01Shot by Pilut, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 5:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 5:21Shot by Hainsey, saved by Ullmark
  33. P2 5:58Shot by Kadri, saved by Ullmark
  34. P3 7:16Thompson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Rodrigues, Thompson, Dahlin · TOR Ennis, Rielly, Gauthier, Dermott, Lindholm

  35. P2 7:50Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Andersen
  36. P3 8:44Marleau: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Ennis, Hyman, Johnsson

  37. P2 8:33Goal by Matthews (Hainsey)+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Beaulieu, Sheary, Mittelstadt · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews

  38. P2 9:05Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 9:49Shot by Gauthier, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 9:51Shot by Ennis, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 10:25Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 11:46Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark4v4
  43. P2 12:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen4v4
  44. P2 12:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen4v4
  45. P2 14:01Goal by Reinhart (Beaulieu, Ristolainen)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Beaulieu, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hainsey, Ennis, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Lindholm

  46. P2 14:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  47. P2 14:51Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Andersen
  48. P2 16:40Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 18:16Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  50. P2 19:05Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  51. P3 0:00Period end
  52. P2 19:50Goal by Gardiner (Tavares, Marner)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Berglund, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Pilut · TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  53. OT 4:57Goal by Matthews (Kapanen, Gardiner)3v3+47 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Rodrigues, Dahlin · TOR Gardiner, Kapanen, Matthews

  54. OT 4:57Final
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 0:30Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  57. P3 1:34Shot by Sobotka, saved by Andersen
  58. P3 2:19Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  59. P3 2:39Goal by Eichel (Ristolainen, Skinner)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TOR Gardiner, Hyman, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Lindholm

  60. P3 5:00Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  61. P3 5:21Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 8:41Shot by Johnsson, saved by Ullmark4v5
  63. P3 9:23Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark5v4
  64. P3 10:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen5v4
  65. P3 11:39Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  66. P3 12:20Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  67. P3 12:57Goal by Eichel (Reinhart)+38 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Beaulieu, Reinhart, Eichel, Pilut · TOR Gardiner, Kadri, Brown, Johnsson, Zaitsev

  68. P3 13:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 13:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Ullmark
  70. P3 13:47Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  71. P3 14:06Shot by Dermott, saved by Ullmark
  72. P3 14:47Goal by Marleau (Rielly, Matthews)+40 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Berglund, Larsson, Beaulieu, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews

  73. P3 15:06Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 15:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  75. P3 15:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 17:41Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Ullmark
  77. P3 19:08Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  78. OT 0:00Period start
  79. OT 0:17Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen3v3
  80. OT 0:42Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen3v3
  81. OT 2:57Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark3v3
  82. OT 4:16Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen3v3
  83. OT 4:33Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen3v3
  84. OT 4:57Period end