Tue, Dec 4, 2018·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
10%
42%
BUF winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tavares–Hyman–Marner | Marleau–Kapanen–Matthews | Kadri–Brown–Johnsson | Ennis–Gauthier–Lindholm | Marleau–Kadri–Matthews | Gardiner–Zaitsev | Hainsey–Rielly | Dermott–Ozhiganov | Gardiner–Rielly | Hainsey–Gardiner | Gardiner–Dermott | Rielly–Dermott | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel | 3:300.17–0.00 | 4:250.09–0.06 | 3:290.19–0.04 | 0:330.09–0.37 | 10:370.45–0.41 | 2:290.04–0.04 | 0:360.00–0.02 | |||||
| Sobotka–Rodrigues–Thompson | 2:300.03–0.28 | 2:480.15–0.09 | 2:510.00–0.02 | 1:350.13–0.00 | 1:240.14–0.00 | 4:040.16–0.33 | 3:590.02–0.01 | 0:430.00–0.06 | ||||
| Okposo–Sheary–Mittelstadt | 1:190.02–0.22 | 2:520.18–0.07 | 2:270.07–0.00 | 1:020.07–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:170.06–0.00 | 3:440.16–0.07 | 2:150.13–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.02 | |||
| Berglund–Larsson–Girgensons | 4:050.12–0.18 | 2:380.15–0.12 | 0:540.01–0.00 | 1:400.00–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.01 | 4:020.27–0.00 | ||||||
| Sobotka–Sheary–Rodrigues | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Bogosian–Dahlin | 6:520.18–0.48 | 2:240.09–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.02 | 1:440.17–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.24 | 5:560.33–0.16 | 3:450.10–0.31 | 1:200.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.05 | 0:390.01–0.19 | 0:450.00–0.05 | 0:380.08–0.06 |
| Ristolainen–Pilut | 3:500.13–0.00 | 5:210.24–0.01 | 1:440.00–0.35 | 2:560.00–0.01 | 3:450.10–0.00 | 4:330.27–0.34 | ||||||
| Ristolainen–Dahlin | 1:200.00–0.02 | 1:440.00–0.06 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:450.05–0.00 | 3:090.16–0.06 | 1:330.02–0.00 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Beaulieu | 0:550.01–0.21 | 2:200.00–0.00 | 1:380.06–0.00 | 1:360.01–0.07 | 1:150.04–0.00 | |||||||
| Beaulieu–Pilut | 0:440.13–0.00 | 0:490.15–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:370.12–0.00 | 1:110.13–0.00 | 1:060.04–0.00 | ||||||
| Bogosian–Pilut | 1:280.00–0.17 | 1:190.02–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Pilut | 1:020.05–0.00 | 0:500.07–0.01 | 0:570.07–0.01 | 0:520.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Beaulieu–Ristolainen | 0:520.05–0.12 | 0:500.05–0.00 | 0:550.05–0.00 | 0:530.05–0.00 | ||||||||
| Beaulieu–Nelson | 1:340.00–0.01 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.01 | ||||||||
| Beaulieu–Dahlin | 0:420.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.37 | 0:430.00–0.04 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 29:15 | 1:01 | 2:29 | 4 | 4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenBUF | 31 | 27:00 | 0:52 | 2:19 | 3 | 9 |
 Zach BogosianBUF | 29 | 26:34 | 0:55 | 2:44 | 3 | 5 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 32 | 25:50 | 0:48 | 1:56 | 6 | 4 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 32 | 24:48 | 0:47 | 1:47 | 4 | 6 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 28 | 23:22 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 8 | 0 |
 Lawrence PilutBUF | 26 | 22:49 | 0:53 | 2:19 | 2 | 4 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 31 | 22:20 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 7 | 4 |
 John TavaresTOR | 30 | 22:00 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 7 | 4 |
 Jack EichelBUF | 26 | 21:49 | 0:50 | 1:40 | 8 | 3 |
 Sam ReinhartBUF | 26 | 21:35 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 8 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 29 | 20:31 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 3 | 5 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 29 | 20:22 | 0:42 | 1:35 | 3 | 7 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 27 | 20:20 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 9 | 1 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 25 | 19:07 | 0:46 | 1:26 | 7 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 24 | 18:32 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 8 | 2 |
 Zach HymanTOR | 28 | 18:23 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 6 | 4 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 22 | 18:10 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 1 | 0 |
 Evan RodriguesBUF | 25 | 16:57 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 4 | 6 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 23 | 16:57 | 0:44 | 1:25 | 4 | 6 |
 Vladimir SobotkaBUF | 25 | 16:55 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 3 | 5 |
 Conor ShearyBUF | 21 | 15:33 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 6 | 3 |
 Nathan BeaulieuBUF | 21 | 15:14 | 0:44 | 1:28 | 3 | 1 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 15:10 | 0:46 | 1:16 | 4 | 3 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 21 | 14:11 | 0:41 | 1:20 | 2 | 6 |
 Igor OzhiganovTOR | 18 | 13:48 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 0 | 0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 21 | 13:27 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 1 | 6 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 19 | 12:38 | 0:40 | 1:35 | 1 | 5 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 16 | 12:28 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 4 | 0 |
 Johan LarssonBUF | 20 | 12:20 | 0:37 | 1:15 | 1 | 7 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 15 | 12:07 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 4 | 0 |
 Patrik BerglundBUF | 16 | 10:27 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Par LindholmTOR | 15 | 6:52 | 0:27 | 0:59 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyler EnnisTOR | 13 | 5:49 | 0:27 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 13 | 5:23 | 0:25 | 0:56 | 0 | 3 |
 Casey NelsonBUF | 4 | 2:39 | 0:40 | 1:10 | 1 | 0 |