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Ice Lab

Sun, Dec 16, 2018·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 4, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 74% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Reinhart–EichelLarsson–Girgensons–RodriguesPominville–Sobotka–ThompsonOkposo–Sheary–MittelstadtSobotka–Okposo–ShearyScandella–RistolainenBogosian–DahlinHunwick–GuhleHunwick–BogosianGuhle–DahlinRistolainen–DahlinBogosian–ScandellaHunwick–Ristolainen
Krejci–Marchand–Pastrnak0:510.00–0.003:090.08–0.004:000.47–0.001:540.12–0.005:400.46–0.002:050.01–0.002:150.24–0.00
Donato–Heinen–Forsbacka Karlsson5:030.91–0.072:220.24–0.090:560.13–0.001:470.21–0.002:550.39–0.162:090.93–0.000:520.00–0.020:300.00–0.000:460.00–0.07
Wagner–Kuraly–Acciari6:390.25–0.070:380.00–0.000:400.02–0.003:110.21–0.001:480.05–0.071:200.10–0.000:490.00–0.001:070.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Backes–Nordstrom–Cave1:510.00–0.400:510.05–0.022:460.04–0.202:040.02–0.271:550.05–0.341:460.02–0.02
Krejci–Nordstrom–Pastrnak1:360.00–0.131:340.00–0.031:400.00–0.000:520.00–0.03
Backes–Marchand–Cave2:130.04–0.060:360.00–0.001:070.04–0.000:570.23–0.06
Grzelcyk–McAvoy11:160.44–0.560:590.00–0.001:170.21–0.021:190.04–0.006:410.43–0.271:530.27–0.272:340.00–0.021:560.00–0.000:380.00–0.020:510.00–0.000:530.00–0.02
Krug–Carlo0:410.03–0.003:000.03–0.044:030.13–0.005:480.14–0.274:090.07–0.005:150.04–0.242:120.10–0.002:040.24–0.060:480.00–0.00
Kampfer–Moore5:330.43–0.262:440.05–0.050:320.02–0.000:390.13–0.002:310.19–0.002:290.18–0.292:010.27–0.002:130.00–0.02
Moore–Carlo0:440.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:420.05–0.000:370.00–0.000:380.02–0.000:430.00–0.00
Krug–McAvoy0:420.00–0.000:570.23–0.000:300.00–0.00
Moore–Krug0:410.07–0.100:310.00–0.07
Kampfer–Krug1:150.53–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKrejci FMarchand FPastrnak FCave FBackes FNordstrom FForsbacka Karlsson FHeinen FDonato FWagner FKuraly FAcciari FGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DKrug DCarlo DMoore DKampfer DRask GEichel FReinhart FSkinner FMittelstadt FSheary FOkposo FSobotka FPominville FThompson FLarsson FGirgensons FRodrigues FScandella DRistolainen DBogosian DDahlin DGuhle DHunwick DUllmark G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Torey KrugBOS2925:580:541:42130
Zach BogosianBUF2724:200:541:4706
Rasmus RistolainenBUF3023:220:471:4749
David PastrnakBOS1922:461:122:4270
Brad MarchandBOS2222:131:012:5362
Marco ScandellaBUF2822:070:472:0428
Brandon CarloBOS2620:170:472:0671
Charlie McAvoyBOS2820:140:431:5621
Rasmus DahlinBUF2319:350:511:5722
David KrejciBOS2119:050:551:5480
Jack EichelBUF2219:000:521:4762
Matt HunwickBUF2418:240:461:3524
Matt GrzelcykBOS2517:580:431:5621
John MooreBOS2317:440:461:3301
Jeff SkinnerBUF2017:220:521:4261
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2116:580:481:4206
Ryan DonatoBOS1716:531:002:2230
Johan LarssonBUF2316:490:441:1508
Sam ReinhartBUF2116:460:481:4241
Evan RodriguesBUF2316:220:431:2307
David BackesBOS2115:090:431:3762
Jakob Forsbacka KarlssonBOS1614:220:541:2130
Kyle OkposoBUF1914:150:451:2614
Vladimir SobotkaBUF2113:360:391:2307
Sean KuralyBOS1712:570:461:4422
Steven KampferBOS1712:520:451:1920
Noel AcciariBOS1812:510:431:5432
Danton HeinenBOS1612:260:471:2130
Colby CaveBOS1912:190:391:1422
Conor ShearyBUF1912:110:381:3511
Casey MittelstadtBUF1712:070:431:0513
Chris WagnerBOS1712:040:431:0721
Brendan GuhleBUF1811:590:401:2431
Joakim NordstromBOS1711:310:411:0630
Tage ThompsonBUF1610:380:401:2305
Jason PominvilleBUF1610:090:381:2305