Thu, Jan 3, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
75%
14%
TOR winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 27:16 | 0.04 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 25:57 | 0.04 | 50.9% | +55.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:49 | 0.10 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:42 | 0.13 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.13 | 57.1% | +20.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:19 | 0.28 | 48.7% | +47.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:54 | 0.23 | 58.2% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.10 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 14:47 | 0.52 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:23 | 0.25 | 43.9% | +12.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.13 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.08 | 50.0% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:16 | 0.20 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.13 | 40.9% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 | 0.00 | 22.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:48 | 0.02 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:27 | 0.01 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 4.54 | +1.5 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 25:36 | 0.15 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 24:06 | 0.73 | 67.2% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.27 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 22:07 | 0.70 | 67.7% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.43 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 20:28 | 0.63 | 41.4% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:54 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 | 0.05 | 56.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.33 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:02 | 0.00 | 52.3% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.05 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.18 | 70.8% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:15 | 0.23 | 40.3% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:00 | 0.16 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 | 0.00 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.35 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:39 | 0.26 | 78.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:15 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.40 | −1.6 | 57:03 |