Thu, Jan 3, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Minnesota Wild 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.
75%
14%
TOR winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Staal–Zucker–Granlund | Koivu–Niederreiter–Greenway | Parise–Coyle–Kunin | Fehr–Foligno–Brown | Suter–Spurgeon | Pateryn–Brodin | Seeler–Murphy | Brodin–Murphy | Pateryn–Seeler | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Brown–Marner | 6:340.26–0.27 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 2:400.18–0.13 | 5:000.22–0.33 | 3:250.20–0.01 | 1:190.43–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.06 | ||
| Marleau–Kadri–Kapanen | 6:560.24–0.08 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 2:400.02–0.07 | 3:430.22–0.00 | 2:130.00–0.01 | |||
| Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews | 1:420.21–0.12 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 4:420.09–0.50 | 1:130.02–0.07 | 4:560.20–0.59 | 2:050.02–0.10 | |||
| Gauthier–Moore–Lindholm | 3:370.34–0.01 | 1:190.14–0.01 | 1:410.10–0.01 | 1:160.10–0.00 | |||||
| Gauthier–Kapanen–Lindholm | 0:570.00–0.00 | 0:470.01–0.00 | 1:530.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Marleau–Kadri–Moore | 1:030.00–0.13 | 0:490.00–0.13 | |||||||
| Hainsey–Rielly | 1:380.20–0.03 | 4:380.15–0.14 | 4:410.17–0.50 | 4:350.31–0.46 | 4:210.22–0.21 | 2:110.06–0.01 | 0:530.04–0.00 | ||
| Gardiner–Zaitsev | 6:360.37–0.36 | 0:570.00–0.06 | 2:260.08–0.12 | 6:470.38–0.52 | 2:250.14–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.02 | 0:390.00–0.10 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |
| Dermott–Ozhiganov | 1:000.08–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.07 | 4:570.17–0.05 | 3:100.08–0.12 | 2:340.00–0.04 | 2:430.09–0.00 | |||
| Dermott–Zaitsev | 1:350.02–0.08 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.00 | |||||
| Gardiner–Ozhiganov | 0:580.09–0.03 | 0:360.06–0.00 | 1:140.02–0.03 | ||||||
| Gardiner–Dermott | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:440.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.04 | ||||||
| Gardiner–Rielly | 1:100.08–0.00 | 0:540.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Hainsey–Dermott | 0:520.03–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Ryan SuterMIN | 26 | 27:16 | 1:03 | 3:16 | 6 | 2 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 26 | 25:57 | 1:00 | 3:16 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 29 | 25:36 | 0:53 | 2:30 | 4 | 7 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 24:06 | 1:00 | 2:18 | 2 | 5 |
 Jake GardinerTOR | 26 | 22:23 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 4 | 6 |
 John TavaresTOR | 24 | 22:07 | 0:55 | 2:30 | 3 | 6 |
 Greg PaterynMIN | 23 | 21:49 | 0:57 | 1:49 | 3 | 6 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 25 | 21:42 | 0:52 | 1:49 | 2 | 6 |
 Nazem KadriTOR | 19 | 21:07 | 1:07 | 2:50 | 6 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 23 | 20:28 | 0:53 | 2:11 | 5 | 7 |
 Mikko KoivuMIN | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:38 | 1 | 5 |
 Nikita ZaitsevTOR | 23 | 17:54 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 1 | 6 |
 Travis DermottTOR | 23 | 17:39 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 6 | 2 |
 Zach PariseMIN | 21 | 17:19 | 0:49 | 1:46 | 6 | 1 |
 Patrick MarleauTOR | 20 | 17:10 | 0:52 | 1:20 | 6 | 3 |
 Charlie CoyleMIN | 21 | 16:54 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 |
 Ron HainseyTOR | 22 | 15:02 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 6 |
 Eric StaalMIN | 21 | 14:58 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 5 | 1 |
 Mikael GranlundMIN | 22 | 14:47 | 0:40 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 |
 Kasperi KapanenTOR | 19 | 14:44 | 0:47 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Luke KuninMIN | 17 | 14:23 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 5 | 0 |
 Connor BrownTOR | 21 | 14:20 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 1 | 7 |
 William NylanderTOR | 23 | 14:15 | 0:37 | 1:16 | 3 | 7 |
 Jason ZuckerMIN | 19 | 14:03 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Andreas JohnssonTOR | 23 | 14:00 | 0:37 | 1:28 | 2 | 7 |
 Nino NiederreiterMIN | 17 | 13:45 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Eric FehrMIN | 16 | 13:16 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 0 | 6 |
 Jordan GreenwayMIN | 17 | 13:13 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Igor OzhiganovTOR | 16 | 12:24 | 0:47 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 18 | 11:22 | 0:38 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan MurphyMIN | 13 | 10:48 | 0:50 | 1:41 | 0 | 1 |
 Nick SeelerMIN | 15 | 10:38 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Trevor MooreTOR | 12 | 8:48 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 2 | 1 |
 Par LindholmTOR | 12 | 8:39 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 JT BrownMIN | 11 | 8:27 | 0:46 | 1:02 | 0 | 0 |
 Frederik GauthierTOR | 12 | 8:15 | 0:41 | 0:59 | 0 | 1 |