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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 3, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Minnesota Wild

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 80% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:07Goal by Marner (Brown, Tavares)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Brown, Marner, Zaitsev · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  3. P1 0:21Shot by Granlund, saved by Hutchinson
  4. P1 2:22Shot by Lindholm, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 2:31Lindholm: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Gauthier, Moore, Lindholm · MIN Fehr, Foligno, Seeler, Murphy, Brown

  6. P1 2:45Shot by Brown, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  7. P1 3:13Shot by Granlund, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  8. P1 3:25Shot by Staal, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  9. P1 4:11Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Hutchinson4v5
  10. P1 4:35Shot by Fehr, saved by Hutchinson
  11. P1 4:48Shot by Pateryn, saved by Hutchinson
  12. P1 5:38Goal by Marner (Tavares, Hainsey)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Marner · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Spurgeon, Coyle, Kunin

  13. P1 6:04Shot by Kunin, saved by Hutchinson
  14. P1 6:06Shot by Parise, saved by Hutchinson
  15. P1 6:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 7:49Shot by Lindholm, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 8:31Shot by Brodin, saved by Hutchinson
  18. P1 9:08Shot by Kunin, saved by Hutchinson
  19. P1 9:10Goal by Coyle (Kunin, Spurgeon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle, Kunin

  20. P1 9:51Shot by Gardiner, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 11:26Shot by Parise, saved by Hutchinson
  22. P1 12:01Shot by Parise, saved by Hutchinson
  23. P1 12:24Shot by Pateryn, saved by Hutchinson
  24. P1 13:50Shot by Koivu, saved by Hutchinson
  25. P1 14:17Shot by Brodin, saved by Hutchinson
  26. P1 15:17Shot by Coyle, saved by Hutchinson
  27. P1 16:48Shot by Brodin, saved by Hutchinson
  28. P1 18:12Shot by Zucker, saved by Hutchinson
  29. P1 19:04Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P1 19:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P1 19:40Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Dermott, Marner · MIN Koivu, Pateryn, Foligno, Niederreiter, Brodin

  32. P1 19:40Foligno: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Dermott, Marner · MIN Koivu, Pateryn, Foligno, Niederreiter, Brodin

  33. P1 19:49Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  34. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 1:07Shot by Gardiner, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  37. P2 2:14Shot by Zucker, saved by Hutchinson
  38. P2 2:33Shot by Johnsson, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 2:47Staal: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  40. P2 3:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  41. P2 3:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  42. P2 4:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  43. P2 5:09Goal by Koivu (Spurgeon, Parise)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Gardiner, Johnsson, Nylander, Zaitsev · MIN Koivu, Staal, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon

  44. P2 5:35Shot by Dermott, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 6:14Shot by Pateryn, saved by Hutchinson
  46. P2 6:28Shot by Greenway, saved by Hutchinson
  47. P2 7:14Shot by Granlund, saved by Hutchinson
  48. P2 7:29Shot by Staal, saved by Hutchinson
  49. P2 8:16Goal by Nylander (Matthews, Dermott)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Nylander, Dermott, Matthews, Ozhiganov · MIN Staal, Suter, Zucker, Granlund, Seeler

  50. P2 9:07Shot by Parise, saved by Hutchinson
  51. P2 9:13Shot by Suter, saved by Hutchinson
  52. P2 9:36Goal by Spurgeon (Greenway, Niederreiter)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Kadri, Kapanen, Dermott, Ozhiganov · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Niederreiter, Greenway

  53. P2 9:43Shot by Brown, saved by Hutchinson
  54. P2 12:13Shot by Murphy, saved by Hutchinson
  55. P2 15:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Dubnyk
  56. P2 16:19Shot by Kadri, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P2 16:31Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P2 16:42Granlund: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Brown, Marner, Zaitsev · MIN Staal, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker, Granlund

  59. P2 18:26Shot by Moore, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P2 8:32Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 0:00Period start
  63. P3 1:00Shot by Rielly, saved by Dubnyk
  64. P3 1:33Shot by Dermott, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 2:31Shot by Lindholm, saved by Dubnyk
  66. P3 4:21Goal by Parise (Coyle)+28 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Johnsson, Marner, Matthews, Zaitsev · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Coyle, Brodin, Kunin

  67. P3 6:22Shot by Granlund, saved by Hutchinson
  68. P3 6:34Shot by Pateryn, saved by Hutchinson
  69. P3 7:15Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk
  70. P3 7:22Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 7:54Greenway: Too many men on the ice (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Kapanen, Matthews · MIN Koivu, Pateryn, Niederreiter, Brodin, Greenway

  72. P3 8:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  73. P3 9:16Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  74. P3 9:59Shot by Johnsson, saved by Dubnyk
  75. P3 11:28Shot by Gardiner, saved by Dubnyk
  76. P3 11:30Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  77. P3 12:09Brodin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Tavares, Rielly, Brown, Marner · MIN Parise, Pateryn, Coyle, Brodin, Kunin

  78. P3 9:17Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  79. P3 12:27Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  80. P3 12:42Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  81. P3 14:23Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Dubnyk
  82. P3 15:15Shot by Granlund, saved by Hutchinson
  83. P3 18:22Shot by Brown, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  84. P3 18:35Shot by Matthews, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  85. P3 15:31Shot by Tavares, saved by Dubnyk
  86. P3 18:42Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  87. P3 19:25Shot by Marner, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  88. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  89. P3 0:00Final6v5