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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 5, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Minnesota Wild 4, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 58% of the time.

OTT winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Parise–Coyle–KuninHendricks–Fehr–FolignoKoivu–Zucker–NiederreiterStaal–Granlund–GreenwayStaal–Zucker–GranlundKoivu–Niederreiter–GreenwayPateryn–BrodinSuter–SpurgeonSeeler–MurphySuter–Brodin
Stone–White–Tkachuk4:490.16–0.141:070.00–0.260:490.00–0.230:330.00–0.002:230.29–0.001:030.02–0.004:370.04–0.005:180.44–0.370:500.00–0.26
Smith–Boedker–Tierney1:260.02–0.102:030.19–0.022:430.05–0.101:330.02–0.021:230.06–0.054:020.02–0.303:430.05–0.022:480.27–0.10
Ryan–Duchene–Dzingel2:160.02–0.261:020.00–0.081:030.00–0.462:370.24–0.001:580.09–0.016:080.34–0.342:070.00–0.271:580.01–0.01
Duchene–Stone–Dzingel0:550.03–0.001:420.10–0.001:020.10–0.002:170.03–0.00
Duchene–Paajarvi–Balcers0:580.02–0.031:210.35–0.001:350.03–0.030:440.33–0.00
Paajarvi–Dzingel–Balcers0:550.00–0.001:090.06–0.00
Ryan–White–Tkachuk0:550.00–0.020:390.00–0.000:390.00–0.000:550.00–0.02
Paajarvi–Stone–Balcers0:440.00–0.050:360.00–0.001:200.00–0.05
Boedker–Tierney–Balcers0:380.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
DeMelo–Harpur8:210.18–0.350:490.00–0.000:530.00–0.000:340.02–0.005:080.02–0.144:540.16–0.261:480.02–0.130:560.00–0.00
Borowiecki–Jaros2:280.00–0.122:140.02–0.022:470.18–0.054:200.14–0.152:230.00–0.041:270.06–0.00
Ceci–Wolanin0:330.00–0.003:420.24–0.270:380.00–0.002:040.13–0.002:120.18–0.024:020.08–0.001:180.17–0.26
Ceci–Lajoie0:570.02–0.260:370.00–0.074:460.53–0.002:360.38–0.433:490.30–0.001:040.01–0.00
Borowiecki–Ceci2:200.05–0.241:530.05–0.230:470.05–0.02
DeMelo–Wolanin0:520.02–0.000:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.010:590.00–0.001:370.00–0.01
Wolanin–Jaros0:380.00–0.000:470.00–0.001:340.00–0.00
Ceci–Harpur0:380.00–0.000:510.00–0.23
Harpur–Jaros0:420.33–0.000:330.00–0.000:420.33–0.00
DeMelo–Lajoie0:530.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
Borowiecki–DeMelo1:100.00–0.010:530.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FWhite FStone FRyan FDzingel FDuchene FSmith FTierney FBoedker FPaajarvi FBalcers FDeMelo DHarpur DCeci DLajoie DBorowiecki DJaros DWolanin DNilsson GCoyle FParise FKunin FStaal FZucker FGranlund FKoivu FNiederreiter FGreenway FHendricks FFoligno FFehr FSuter DSpurgeon DBrodin DPateryn DMurphy DSeeler DDubnyk G
OTTMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryan SuterMIN2627:291:032:1343
Jared SpurgeonMIN2824:360:532:1353
Cody CeciOTT2823:190:501:3454
Jonas BrodinMIN2422:390:571:3824
Mark StoneOTT2422:120:561:3160
Greg PaterynMIN2422:040:551:4224
Matt DucheneOTT2521:520:522:1042
Dylan DeMeloOTT2521:430:521:4432
Charlie CoyleMIN2519:440:471:1932
Ryan DzingelOTT2319:070:501:2832
Ben HarpurOTT2218:530:522:1624
Jason ZuckerMIN1918:270:581:3821
Mikko KoivuMIN1818:091:011:3522
Mikael GranlundMIN2017:510:541:3031
Eric StaalMIN2017:320:531:1831
Chris TierneyOTT2017:210:521:4401
Zack SmithOTT2017:200:521:2804
Zach PariseMIN2317:200:451:3041
Nino NiederreiterMIN1816:280:551:2220
Colin WhiteOTT1916:070:511:2340
Mark BorowieckiOTT2116:040:461:4422
Jordan GreenwayMIN1915:440:501:2221
Luke KuninMIN2115:030:431:2521
Christian WolaninOTT1714:590:531:4040
Mikkel BoedkerOTT1714:540:531:3601
Brady TkachukOTT1714:480:521:2340
Bobby RyanOTT2014:370:441:2442
Christian JarosOTT1912:310:401:4412
Maxime LajoieOTT1810:490:361:0132
Magnus PaajarviOTT1510:380:431:2213
Eric FehrMIN1610:090:381:2006
Marcus FolignoMIN139:260:441:2502
Ryan MurphyMIN148:250:361:3820
Nick SeelerMIN138:170:381:2200
Matt HendricksMIN118:110:451:2901
Rudolfs BalcersOTT117:450:421:3030