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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 5, 2019·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 1, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 83% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Sobotka–Sheary–ThompsonSkinner–Reinhart–RodriguesOkposo–Larsson–SmithPominville–Elie–MittelstadtSkinner–Reinhart–MittelstadtOkposo–Larsson–EliePominville–Rodrigues–SmithBogosian–PilutMcCabe–RistolainenScandella–DahlinRistolainen–DahlinDahlin–PilutBogosian–DahlinBogosian–McCabe
Bergeron–Marchand–Pastrnak0:420.03–0.007:050.22–0.150:460.01–0.002:290.17–0.031:020.01–0.006:470.11–0.112:210.17–0.061:070.12–0.00
Backes–Krejci–DeBrusk1:330.00–0.116:180.59–0.040:380.00–0.030:470.00–0.005:000.40–0.022:100.00–0.012:570.36–0.060:340.00–0.11
Wagner–Kuraly–Acciari5:230.39–0.211:000.12–0.090:410.11–0.000:590.21–0.021:030.00–0.082:480.23–0.212:170.17–0.002:440.42–0.101:140.00–0.000:420.11–0.09
Donato–Heinen–Forsbacka Karlsson3:110.08–0.000:470.00–0.122:120.08–0.081:110.04–0.025:260.18–0.120:480.00–0.012:360.08–0.10
Marchand–Pastrnak–Acciari0:500.00–0.08
Kuraly–Pastrnak–Acciari0:310.00–0.08
Chara–Carlo2:460.45–0.117:340.47–0.260:560.12–0.001:200.04–0.002:160.00–0.080:420.04–0.004:390.17–0.004:330.26–0.223:090.44–0.071:140.07–0.140:410.00–0.000:330.09–0.00
Miller–Grzelcyk5:510.28–0.081:330.07–0.092:330.02–0.131:350.00–0.181:200.11–0.024:400.11–0.315:040.16–0.004:350.28–0.180:590.00–0.160:340.03–0.00
Moore–Krug1:380.13–0.134:310.25–0.031:380.00–0.035:160.36–0.141:390.06–0.023:220.18–0.08
Krug–Carlo1:270.01–0.001:180.01–0.00
Chara–Moore0:300.15–0.000:340.17–0.00
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:480.03–0.000:430.00–0.00
Chara–Miller0:380.00–0.01
Miller–Krug0:310.01–0.000:390.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWagner FKuraly FAcciari FBergeron FMarchand FPastrnak FBackes FKrejci FDeBrusk FDonato FForsbacka Karlsson FHeinen FGrzelcyk DMiller DCarlo DChara DMoore DKrug DRask GSobotka FSheary FThompson FReinhart FSkinner FRodrigues FLarsson FOkposo FSmith FPominville FMittelstadt FElie FMcCabe DRistolainen DScandella DDahlin DBogosian DPilut DUllmark G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2423:030:582:1636
Zach BogosianBUF2222:181:011:3527
Zdeno CharaBOS2721:320:481:1538
Brandon CarloBOS2521:160:511:5446
Kevan MillerBOS2521:130:511:2921
Matt GrzelcykBOS2520:300:492:0031
Lawrence PilutBUF2020:081:001:3914
Rasmus DahlinBUF2420:020:502:0932
Brad MarchandBOS2119:580:571:2055
Sam ReinhartBUF2219:140:521:1763
Jeff SkinnerBUF2118:210:521:1462
Evan RodriguesBUF2218:110:501:1355
Vladimir SobotkaBUF2217:560:491:2318
David PastrnakBOS1917:440:561:2065
Patrice BergeronBOS2117:310:501:1655
Johan LarssonBUF2017:220:521:1938
Jake McCabeBUF2217:180:471:1437
Marco ScandellaBUF2317:160:451:1723
Torey KrugBOS2116:360:471:1661
John MooreBOS2016:170:491:3221
Noel AcciariBOS2115:200:441:1032
David KrejciBOS1814:530:501:0843
Conor ShearyBUF1914:470:471:2215
Sean KuralyBOS2314:390:381:1033
Chris WagnerBOS2114:260:411:1342
David BackesBOS1714:260:511:0953
Jake DeBruskBOS1714:080:501:0963
Tage ThompsonBUF1814:060:471:2214
Kyle OkposoBUF1913:420:431:2234
Jakob Forsbacka KarlssonBOS1413:080:561:5431
C.J. SmithBUF1812:300:421:1424
Danton HeinenBOS1412:190:531:4931
Ryan DonatoBOS1512:040:481:2930
Casey MittelstadtBUF1811:490:391:2221
Remi ElieBUF1610:310:391:0150
Jason PominvilleBUF158:380:350:5732