Sat, Jan 12, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
- P1 0:26Goal by Point (Kucherov, Johnson)+17 pts WP
On ice: BUF Sobotka, Scandella, Ristolainen, Rodrigues, Thompson · TBL Girardi, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov, Point
- P1 1:50Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P1 2:52Shot by Dahlin, saved by Domingue
- P1 3:17Coburn: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Coburn, Miller, Erne, Cirelli, Sergachev
- P1 3:33Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 4:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 5:34Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Domingue
- P1 5:47Goal by Reinhart (Skinner, Dahlin)+18 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Coburn, McDonagh, Stamkos, Cernak, Cirelli
- P1 6:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
- P1 7:48Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
- P1 8:38Shot by McCabe, saved by Domingue
- P1 10:12Shot by Scandella, saved by Domingue
- P1 10:57Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Gourde, Sergachev
- P1 11:12Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 11:13Shot by Okposo, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 12:25Gourde: Holding (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Girardi, Hedman, Gourde, Paquette
- P1 13:02Shot by Skinner, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 13:17Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue5v4
- P1 14:53Shot by Pominville, saved by Domingue
- P1 15:57Shot by Girardi, saved by Ullmark
- P1 16:58Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P1 17:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P1 19:50Goal by Thompson (Girgensons, Sobotka)+19 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Thompson · TBL Coburn, Girardi, Johnson, Kucherov, Point
- P1 19:56Shot by Callahan, saved by Ullmark
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 2:27Shot by Johnson, saved by Ullmark
- P2 2:41Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Domingue
- P2 3:06Shot by Killorn, saved by Ullmark
- P2 4:19Shot by Scandella, saved by Domingue
- P2 7:50Goal by Palat (Sergachev, Hedman)+22 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pominville, Sobotka, Scandella, Ristolainen, Rodrigues · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sergachev
- P2 8:09Shot by Coburn, saved by Ullmark
- P2 8:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P2 9:15Shot by Larsson, saved by Domingue
- P2 9:47Shot by Girardi, saved by Ullmark
- P2 10:15Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P2 10:23Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P2 11:23Shot by McCabe, saved by Domingue
- P2 12:53Shot by Pilut, saved by Domingue
- P2 12:55Shot by Girgensons, saved by Domingue
- P2 14:21Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
- P2 14:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
- P2 15:23Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
- P2 16:02Shot by Hedman, saved by Ullmark
- P2 16:14Shot by Sheary, saved by Domingue
- P2 16:36Shot by Sobotka, saved by Domingue
- P2 16:47Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Domingue
- P2 18:05Shot by Dahlin, saved by Domingue
- P2 18:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Domingue
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:56Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
- P3 1:09Shot by Sergachev, saved by Ullmark
- P3 2:06Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ullmark
- P3 2:35Shot by Gourde, saved by Ullmark
- P3 4:06Shot by McCabe, saved by Domingue
- P3 4:24Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P3 5:28Shot by Miller, saved by Ullmark
- P3 5:54Goal by Scandella (Pominville, Sheary)+31 pts WP
On ice: BUF Pominville, Bogosian, Scandella, Larsson, Sheary · TBL Callahan, McDonagh, Miller, Paquette, Cernak
- P3 6:17Goal by Kucherov (Stamkos)+31 pts WP
On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Pilut · TBL Girardi, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov
- P3 8:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ullmark
- P3 9:34Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P3 9:36Shot by Palat, saved by Ullmark
- P3 11:38Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue
- P3 12:29Shot by Cernak, saved by Ullmark
- P3 13:27Sergachev: High sticking double minor (4 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Dahlin · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev
- P3 13:27Larsson: Cross checking (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, McCabe, Dahlin · TBL Coburn, Callahan, Miller, Paquette, Sergachev
- P3 13:50Eichel: Elbowing (2 min)5v4
On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TBL Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli
- P3 14:44Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)4v4+37 pts WP
On ice: BUF Sobotka, McCabe, Ristolainen, Mittelstadt · TBL McDonagh, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov
- P3 16:44Shot by Paquette, saved by Ullmark
- P3 16:45Pilut: Holding (2 min)
On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin, Pilut · TBL Callahan, Girardi, Hedman, Miller, Paquette
- P3 17:31Shot by Eichel, saved by Domingue4v5
- P3 18:41Goal by Callahan (Cirelli, Killorn)4v5+4 pts WP
On ice: BUF Scandella, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TBL Callahan, Killorn, McDonagh, Cernak, Cirelli
- P3 0:00Period end6v5
- P3 0:00Final