Sat, Jan 12, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.
44%
9%
11%
37%
BUF winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.07 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.09 | 61.9% | +58.7 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:57 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.30 | 72.9% | +85.5 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:41 | 0.20 | 71.4% | +68.3 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.04 | 40.5% | 0.0 |
 Dan GirardiD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:38 | 0.12 | 52.3% | 0.0 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:25 | 0.51 | 78.0% | +21.7 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.06 | 54.2% | +21.7 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.13 | 60.8% | +17.1 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:13 | 0.19 | 25.7% | +3.9 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:13 | 0.03 | 63.0% | +17.1 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.06 | 62.7% | 0.0 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.11 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:39 | 0.12 | 32.2% | +3.9 |
 J.T. MillerC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.21 | 35.2% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 4.2% | 0.0 |
 Ryan CallahanRW · #24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 9:40 | 0.20 | 31.8% | +3.9 |
 Louis Domingue#70 | W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:15 | 0.09 | 48.9% | +18.4 |
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.08 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 20:30 | 0.35 | 54.0% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:21 | 0.34 | 57.7% | +18.4 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:13 | 0.33 | 50.2% | +18.4 |
 Jake McCabeD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:13 | 0.06 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 55.6% | 0.0 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:03 | 0.21 | 44.3% | +31.2 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.02 | 55.5% | 0.0 |
 Lawrence PilutD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.03 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.23 | 38.2% | +19.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.04 | 30.8% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:04 | 0.34 | 59.2% | +19.0 |
 Vladimir SobotkaC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.15 | 30.3% | +19.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:36 | 0.11 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:59 | 0.21 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.02 | 62.9% | +31.2 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.02 | 46.6% | +31.2 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 2.44 | −2.6 | 58:59 |