TBL 5 @ BUF 3 · Jan 12, 2019

Sat, Jan 12, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

44%

11%

37%

BUF winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Johnson–Kucherov–Point	Stamkos–Palat–Gourde	Killorn–Miller–Cirelli	Stamkos–Palat–Kucherov	Callahan–Paquette–Erne	Callahan–Miller–Paquette	Johnson–Gourde–Point	Killorn–Erne–Cirelli	Killorn–Kucherov–Cirelli	McDonagh–Cernak	Coburn–Sergachev	Girardi–Hedman	Hedman–Sergachev
Skinner–Reinhart–Eichel	1:270.03–0.00	4:320.12–0.14	1:100.00–0.05	1:560.02–0.06			0:550.02–0.02		0:400.00–0.05	6:140.14–0.22	2:530.22–0.00	2:320.02–0.11
Sobotka–Rodrigues–Thompson	6:080.22–0.50	0:500.00–0.00		1:370.06–0.09				1:210.00–0.00		1:320.00–0.10	4:320.23–0.18	3:290.06–0.29
Okposo–Larsson–Girgensons		0:440.00–0.00	2:300.16–0.08	1:000.00–0.38	3:330.44–0.01	0:510.00–0.00				3:290.24–0.08	3:220.00–0.33	2:590.36–0.06
Pominville–Sheary–Mittelstadt		1:140.00–0.05	1:300.04–0.03		1:150.02–0.02	1:100.00–0.16				2:000.02–0.18	2:040.10–0.03	1:280.02–0.04
Skinner–Reinhart–Mittelstadt	0:360.00–0.09
McCabe–Dahlin		0:570.10–0.02	2:130.02–0.08	1:030.01–0.33	2:520.10–0.03	1:040.00–0.00	1:240.00–0.00	0:510.00–0.00	0:400.00–0.05	3:390.18–0.09	6:400.32–0.33	2:460.02–0.03
Scandella–Ristolainen	4:080.11–0.36	3:240.00–0.08	1:170.15–0.00	2:320.06–0.22	0:400.00–0.00			0:460.00–0.00		6:060.15–0.21	2:190.02–0.18	3:180.06–0.18	0:380.00–0.10
Bogosian–Pilut	3:250.00–0.18	2:520.00–0.08	1:360.18–0.06	1:380.00–0.06	0:480.28–0.00		0:300.02–0.02			3:250.20–0.11	3:460.00–0.04	4:050.31–0.22
Scandella–Dahlin					0:510.06–0.00					0:340.01–0.00		0:480.06–0.00
Dahlin–Pilut												0:380.00–0.09
Ristolainen–Dahlin
Bogosian–Ristolainen	1:050.00–0.11
Bogosian–McCabe											0:560.00–0.00

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

BUFTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Rasmus DahlinBUF	25	24:15	0:58	1:56	4	1
Rasmus RistolainenBUF	22	23:50	1:05	2:04	6	4
Erik CernakTBL	25	22:08	0:53	1:38	1	5
Victor HedmanTBL	22	22:06	1:00	2:57	2	4
Ryan McDonaghTBL	25	21:57	0:53	1:38	1	7
Nikita KucherovTBL	22	21:08	0:58	1:39	4	3
Jack EichelBUF	21	20:30	0:59	2:10	8	6
Sam ReinhartBUF	21	20:21	0:58	1:56	7	6
Jeff SkinnerBUF	21	20:13	0:58	1:56	8	6
Steven StamkosTBL	24	18:41	0:47	1:32	2	6
Jake McCabeBUF	22	18:13	0:50	1:28	2	2
Zach BogosianBUF	20	18:10	0:55	1:25	3	5
Braydon CoburnTBL	19	18:03	0:57	2:18	2	2
Dan GirardiTBL	20	17:38	0:53	1:42	1	4
Ondrej PalatTBL	20	17:25	0:52	1:24	2	3
Marco ScandellaBUF	19	17:03	0:54	1:38	3	4
Mikhail SergachevTBL	19	16:57	0:54	2:18	1	2
Brayden PointTBL	18	16:14	0:54	1:33	6	2
Kyle OkposoBUF	19	16:10	0:51	1:30	4	1
Lawrence PilutBUF	20	15:43	0:47	1:39	4	5
Tage ThompsonBUF	18	15:42	0:52	1:43	5	3
Evan RodriguesBUF	21	15:29	0:44	2:01	2	4
Anthony CirelliTBL	19	15:13	0:48	1:29	1	5
Tyler JohnsonTBL	18	14:13	0:47	1:16	4	5
Yanni GourdeTBL	17	14:05	0:50	2:18	2	3
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF	17	14:04	0:50	1:17	2	2
Vladimir SobotkaBUF	17	13:45	0:49	1:27	2	4
Johan LarssonBUF	18	13:36	0:45	1:32	2	2
Cedric PaquetteTBL	17	12:45	0:45	1:32	1	2
Alex KillornTBL	18	12:39	0:42	1:29	0	5
Casey MittelstadtBUF	16	11:59	0:45	1:34	2	0
J.T. MillerTBL	15	11:00	0:44	1:20	2	2
Conor ShearyBUF	15	10:10	0:41	1:20	3	0
Adam ErneTBL	14	10:08	0:43	1:16	0	1
Ryan CallahanTBL	15	9:40	0:39	0:59	1	3
Jason PominvilleBUF	12	7:17	0:36	1:04	0	0

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Buffalo Sabres 3

Who was on the ice

Shift totals