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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 25, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Away

Buffalo Sabres

3

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:12Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 1:16Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 1:48Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  5. P1 2:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 3:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 3:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  9. P1 3:43Shot by Larsson, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 4:39Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 5:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  12. P1 7:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  13. P1 8:34Shot by Bogosian, saved by Andersen
  14. P1 8:41Shot by Gardiner, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 12:44Shot by Sobotka, saved by Andersen
  16. P1 13:10Tavares: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · BUF Pominville, Bogosian, Skinner, Eichel, Dahlin

  17. P1 13:58Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen4v5
  18. P1 14:24Shot by Marner, saved by Hutton4v5
  19. P1 16:27Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 17:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 17:47Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  22. P1 19:00Tavares: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Matthews · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  23. P1 19:07Goal by Eichel (Reinhart, Dahlin)4v5+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Gauthier, Zaitsev · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  24. P1 19:51Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  25. P1 0:00Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:28Shot by Marner, saved by Hutton
  29. P2 0:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 1:16Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  31. P2 1:39Thompson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Brown, Nylander, Dermott · BUF Hunwick, Sobotka, Okposo, Scandella, Thompson

  32. P2 3:48Goal by Tavares (Muzzin, Dermott)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Nylander, Kapanen, Dermott · BUF Hunwick, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Thompson

  33. P2 4:38Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 5:20Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 5:24Goal by Matthews (Kapanen, Johnsson)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews · BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues

  36. P2 5:41Shot by Gauthier, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 5:52Goal by Gauthier (Gardiner, Moore)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Gardiner, Ennis, Gauthier, Zaitsev, Moore · BUF Hunwick, Scandella, Larsson, Wilson, Girgensons

  38. P2 6:35Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  39. P2 7:38Shot by Hyman, saved by Ullmark
  40. P2 7:57Shot by Sheary, saved by Andersen
  41. P2 8:21Shot by Johnsson, saved by Ullmark
  42. P2 9:52Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  43. P2 10:00Shot by Hyman, saved by Ullmark
  44. P2 10:29Shot by Tavares, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 10:43Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 10:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Ullmark
  47. P2 11:40Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
  48. P2 11:51Shot by Thompson, saved by Andersen
  49. P2 13:07Goal by Ennis (Gauthier, Rielly)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Ennis, Rielly, Gauthier, Moore · BUF Pominville, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel

  50. P2 14:47Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  51. P2 15:28Muzzin: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews · BUF McCabe, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues

  52. P2 15:48Shot by Eichel, saved by Andersen4v5
  53. P2 15:54Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen4v5
  54. P2 15:58Shot by Gauthier, saved by Ullmark4v5
  55. P2 16:55Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen4v5
  56. P2 16:56Zaitsev: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Brown, Kapanen, Zaitsev · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  57. P2 17:25Goal by Reinhart (Skinner, Dahlin)3v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Hyman, Rielly · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:09Goal by Eichel (Pominville, Ristolainen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner · BUF Pominville, Skinner, McCabe, Ristolainen, Eichel

  61. P3 2:20Shot by Brown, saved by Ullmark
  62. P3 3:14Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
  63. P3 4:00Shot by Hainsey, saved by Ullmark
  64. P3 5:42Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 5:50Shot by Pominville, saved by Andersen
  66. P3 6:02Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 7:02Shot by Muzzin, saved by Ullmark
  68. P3 7:30Shot by Gardiner, saved by Ullmark
  69. P3 7:41Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 9:07Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  71. P3 10:49Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen
  72. P3 12:47Shot by Marleau, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 14:40Shot by Marner, saved by Ullmark
  74. P3 15:48Shot by Kapanen, saved by Ullmark
  75. P3 15:53Matthews: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Johnsson, Kapanen, Dermott, Matthews · BUF Bogosian, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Rodrigues

  76. P3 17:17Shot by Dahlin, saved by Andersen4v5
  77. P3 17:42Goal by Kapanen (Brown)4v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Brown, Kapanen · BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin

  78. P3 19:27Shot by Reinhart, saved by Andersen5v6
  79. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  80. P3 0:00Final5v6