Mon, Feb 25, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.
33%
9%
51%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 26:11 | 0.04 | 30.1% | +14.3 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 24:06 | 0.19 | 71.9% | +24.4 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:38 | 0.59 | 48.6% | +5.6 |
 Zach BogosianD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:32 | 0.11 | 67.9% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 23:22 | 0.45 | 45.4% | +33.1 |
 Jake McCabeD · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:46 | 0.08 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 18:44 | 0.79 | 61.0% | +24.4 |
 Jason PominvilleRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.55 | 44.8% | +14.3 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.21 | 63.1% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:05 | 0.12 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt HunwickD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:39 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:50 | 0.25 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:54 | 0.05 | 66.9% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:40 | 0.03 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.00 | 61.8% | 0.0 |
 Vladimir SobotkaC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.08 | 56.5% | 0.0 |
 Scott WilsonC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.01 | 44.9% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:40 | 0.11 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Linus Ullmark#35 | L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 2.01 | 0.0 | 32:11 |
 Carter Hutton#40 | – | 12 | 9 | 3 | .750 | 1.06 | −1.9 | 25:52 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:00 | 0.03 | 47.8% | +6.7 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:02 | 0.49 | 49.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:19 | 0.18 | 58.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.05 | 58.8% | +21.1 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:01 | 0.31 | 53.8% | +21.1 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.39 | 46.7% | +20.9 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 17:58 | 0.49 | 44.9% | +26.7 |
 Jake GardinerD · #51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.07 | 41.3% | +14.2 |
 Travis DermottD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 49.5% | +21.1 |
 Andreas JohnssonLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:23 | 0.39 | 41.1% | +20.9 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:39 | 0.08 | 35.5% | +5.8 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.05 | 38.5% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.12 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 7:14 | 0.10 | 90.0% | +6.7 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 7:01 | 0.28 | 90.0% | +20.9 |
 Trevor MooreLW · #42 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 6:29 | 0.00 | 68.3% | +14.2 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | W | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.65 | +0.7 | 60:00 |