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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 25, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pominville–Skinner–EichelSheary–Reinhart–RodriguesLarsson–Wilson–GirgensonsSobotka–Okposo–ThompsonSobotka–Larsson–GirgensonsSobotka–Okposo–SkinnerBogosian–DahlinMcCabe–RistolainenHunwick–ScandellaBogosian–McCabe
Tavares–Hyman–Marner10:140.67–0.610:480.00–0.010:350.00–0.005:480.32–0.474:440.33–0.141:480.00–0.01
Johnsson–Kapanen–Matthews1:290.09–0.076:050.38–0.451:040.00–0.001:260.20–0.033:240.01–0.183:290.31–0.344:060.20–0.07
Marleau–Brown–Nylander2:220.02–0.044:330.05–0.161:340.00–0.283:560.09–0.403:390.18–0.042:070.02–0.03
Ennis–Gauthier–Moore4:230.09–0.020:340.00–0.002:230.02–0.001:230.10–0.021:500.08–0.00
Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews0:450.00–0.01
Gardiner–Zaitsev1:130.22–0.324:460.04–0.172:450.07–0.023:180.03–0.225:010.22–0.395:200.15–0.093:030.06–0.29
Hainsey–Rielly8:420.39–0.460:300.00–0.080:460.00–0.051:080.02–0.005:330.10–0.394:470.33–0.231:480.00–0.13
Muzzin–Dermott1:080.27–0.004:280.36–0.401:490.00–0.001:400.08–0.051:340.00–0.280:390.00–0.003:300.05–0.353:230.35–0.245:150.16–0.13
Muzzin–Rielly1:120.12–0.000:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.000:580.12–0.000:460.00–0.00
Gardiner–Rielly0:340.10–0.00
Hainsey–Zaitsev0:480.00–0.00
Rielly–Dermott0:390.00–0.080:330.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FMarner FTavares FJohnsson FKapanen FMatthews FMarleau FBrown FNylander FGauthier FMoore FEnnis FHainsey DRielly DZaitsev DGardiner DMuzzin DDermott DAndersen GEichel FPominville FSkinner FReinhart FSheary FRodrigues FSobotka FOkposo FThompson FWilson FLarsson FGirgensons FMcCabe DRistolainen DBogosian DDahlin DScandella DHunwick DHutton GUllmark G
TORBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF2626:111:002:1433
Rasmus DahlinBUF2524:060:581:5781
Jeff SkinnerBUF2423:380:591:5781
Zach BogosianBUF2623:320:541:3162
Jack EichelBUF2423:220:581:5771
Morgan RiellyTOR2923:000:481:2224
Ron HainseyTOR2622:140:513:0504
Mitch MarnerTOR2521:020:501:3926
Nikita ZaitsevTOR2620:310:471:2826
Zach HymanTOR2420:190:511:3918
Jake MuzzinTOR2720:120:452:0435
Jake McCabeBUF2519:460:471:2503
John TavaresTOR2219:010:521:3925
Sam ReinhartBUF2018:440:562:2070
Auston MatthewsTOR2318:070:471:1351
Kasperi KapanenTOR2617:580:411:1460
Jason PominvilleBUF2317:210:451:3050
Evan RodriguesBUF2417:090:431:2442
Jake GardinerTOR2216:300:451:2632
Travis DermottTOR2316:000:421:3454
Andreas JohnssonTOR2215:230:421:0961
Conor ShearyBUF2315:050:391:3940
Connor BrownTOR2114:390:421:3452
Matt HunwickBUF1813:390:461:1022
William NylanderTOR1913:310:431:3462
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1612:500:481:4905
Patrick MarleauTOR1812:450:431:3461
Johan LarssonBUF1711:540:421:3206
Kyle OkposoBUF1611:400:441:2720
Marco ScandellaBUF1711:390:410:5921
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1411:250:491:2723
Scott WilsonBUF139:160:431:0702
Tage ThompsonBUF138:400:401:1530
Tyler EnnisTOR127:140:361:0640
Frederik GauthierTOR157:010:281:0634
Trevor MooreTOR126:290:321:0830