Mon, Mar 11, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
23%
8%
9%
60%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:09 | 0.12 | 42.3% | +2.5 |
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.07 | 65.3% | +14.9 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 19:58 | 0.07 | 71.0% | +27.0 |
 Braydon CoburnD · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:44 | 0.36 | 52.8% | +4.1 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 19:37 | 0.11 | 59.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:47 | 0.04 | 81.5% | +18.3 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.12 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Jan RuttaD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.04 | 55.4% | +4.4 |
 J.T. MillerC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:20 | 0.59 | 78.3% | +8.6 |
 Ondrej PalatLW · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:46 | 0.23 | 48.7% | +4.1 |
 Tyler JohnsonC · #9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14:37 | 0.51 | 59.9% | +27.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:18 | 0.11 | 84.0% | +14.9 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:06 | 0.07 | 56.1% | +14.9 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.02 | 46.1% | +2.8 |
 Cedric PaquetteC · #13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.47 | 46.1% | +2.8 |
 Mathieu JosephRW · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.08 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Adam ErneLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 57.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.94 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:07 | 0.07 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.01 | 41.0% | +3.1 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:50 | 0.14 | 37.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.08 | 44.5% | 0.0 |
 Martin MarincinD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.08 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Igor OzhiganovD · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:34 | 0.03 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.14 | 39.0% | +3.1 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:19 | 0.11 | 42.6% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.07 | 53.2% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.31 | 41.2% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.06 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.02 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.14 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
 Andreas JohnssonLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.16 | 33.8% | +3.1 |
 Tyler EnnisRW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.03 | 42.2% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.34 | 48.3% | 0.0 |
 Trevor MooreLW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:22 | 0.15 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Frederik GauthierC · #33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:11 | 0.00 | 34.0% | 0.0 |
 Frederik Andersen#31 | L | 19 | 15 | 4 | .789 | 1.35 | −2.6 | 24:50 |
 Garret Sparks#40 | – | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 1.66 | −0.3 | 35:10 |