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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 12, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

BUF winsDAL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Comeau–Faksa–JanmarkRadulov–Benn–SeguinRadulov–Seguin–HintzSpezza–Benn–L'EsperanceDickinson–Nichushkin–HintzCogliano–Dickinson–NichushkinSpezza–Cogliano–L'EsperanceSpezza–Hintz–L'EsperancePolak–HeiskanenKlingberg–LindellLovejoy–OleksiakPolak–LindellKlingberg–HeiskanenKlingberg–OleksiakLovejoy–HeiskanenLovejoy–Lindell
Sheary–Rodrigues–Nylander4:370.37–0.200:430.03–0.001:150.00–0.000:400.05–0.002:330.25–0.002:040.19–0.061:490.01–0.002:240.09–0.06
Okposo–Larsson–Wilson2:520.05–0.001:080.08–0.000:410.00–0.000:540.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:320.02–0.002:590.00–0.011:130.00–0.021:310.13–0.00
Sobotka–Reinhart–Thompson1:190.00–0.101:290.15–0.041:200.14–0.001:300.02–0.020:590.00–0.001:510.17–0.023:090.01–0.101:180.00–0.040:330.14–0.00
Pominville–Skinner–Mittelstadt0:500.00–0.021:210.02–0.000:360.02–0.001:160.00–0.071:150.10–0.002:240.12–0.000:350.02–0.001:260.00–0.021:030.00–0.07
Skinner–Reinhart–Mittelstadt0:430.00–0.011:380.00–0.002:060.00–0.011:110.00–0.001:090.00–0.00
Sheary–Rodrigues–Thompson0:490.01–0.000:490.01–0.00
Pominville–Sobotka–Thompson0:330.00–0.000:370.00–0.020:370.00–0.02
Pominville–Sobotka–Nylander0:300.00–0.010:320.01–0.00
Hunwick–Ristolainen1:590.30–0.004:060.20–0.002:010.24–0.000:400.00–0.001:280.12–0.003:410.31–0.003:030.25–0.002:390.05–0.000:470.00–0.000:560.13–0.030:540.14–0.00
Scandella–Montour1:010.00–0.011:070.03–0.003:210.05–0.021:160.00–0.070:330.00–0.020:410.00–0.000:450.00–0.002:480.02–0.001:410.06–0.021:520.00–0.022:220.09–0.061:300.00–0.070:330.00–0.01
Bogosian–Dahlin4:460.09–0.271:130.07–0.041:140.00–0.000:340.01–0.000:520.00–0.000:430.01–0.002:480.16–0.061:440.00–0.002:300.00–0.211:130.00–0.260:390.00–0.04
Montour–Dahlin1:510.00–0.130:510.00–0.001:280.00–0.031:200.00–0.000:500.00–0.10
Scandella–Ristolainen0:300.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:330.01–0.000:400.05–0.001:290.05–0.000:560.00–0.001:080.01–0.00
Hunwick–Montour1:070.00–0.001:200.01–0.01
Scandella–Dahlin0:350.00–0.001:000.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndWilson FOkposo FLarsson FRodrigues FNylander FSheary FSobotka FReinhart FThompson FPominville FMittelstadt FSkinner FHunwick DRistolainen DBogosian DDahlin DScandella DMontour DUllmark GHintz FRadulov FSeguin FFaksa FComeau FJanmark FL'Esperance FSpezza FBenn FDickinson FCogliano FNichushkin FKlingberg DLindell DOleksiak DLovejoy DHeiskanen DPolak DBishop G
BUFDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Esa LindellDAL2626:181:012:4445
Rasmus DahlinBUF2124:501:112:5262
Rasmus RistolainenBUF2323:021:003:0715
Brandon MontourBUF2323:001:001:4151
John KlingbergDAL2421:030:531:3066
Roman PolakDAL2720:500:461:2835
Miro HeiskanenDAL2320:250:532:0513
Sam ReinhartBUF2020:131:011:4652
Evan RodriguesBUF2019:390:591:4653
Alexander RadulovDAL2618:540:441:1671
Tyler SeguinDAL2518:530:451:2071
Jeff SkinnerBUF1918:310:582:2550
Jamie BennDAL2317:510:471:2553
Marco ScandellaBUF2017:380:531:3822
Ben LovejoyDAL1917:140:541:5712
Roope HintzDAL2316:500:441:1632
Matt HunwickBUF2016:490:501:4025
Radek FaksaDAL2516:460:401:4125
Conor ShearyBUF1816:440:561:2052
Casey MittelstadtBUF1916:160:511:2560
Blake ComeauDAL2416:120:411:4126
Mattias JanmarkDAL2115:020:431:1934
Kyle OkposoBUF1914:140:451:2534
Jason DickinsonDAL1914:000:440:5912
Zach BogosianBUF1713:320:481:1835
Vladimir SobotkaBUF1813:250:451:1433
Tage ThompsonBUF1513:190:531:2631
Alex NylanderBUF1713:160:471:3362
Johan LarssonBUF1912:590:411:2605
Joel L'EsperanceDAL1712:170:431:0523
Jamie OleksiakDAL1711:500:421:4212
Scott WilsonBUF1810:520:361:0506
Jason SpezzaDAL1610:470:400:5923
Valeri NichushkinDAL1510:240:420:5811
Jason PominvilleBUF1410:210:441:0730
Andrew CoglianoDAL148:240:360:5332