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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 16, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 6

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Shot by Wolanin, saved by Sparks
  3. P1 1:18Shot by Ceci, saved by Sparks
  4. P1 1:23Shot by Balcers, saved by Sparks
  5. P1 1:46Shot by Tierney, saved by Sparks
  6. P1 1:51Shot by Balcers, saved by Sparks
  7. P1 1:52Shot by Paajarvi, saved by Sparks
  8. P1 1:50Shot by Balcers, saved by Sparks
  9. P1 2:20Shot by Moore, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 4:31Shot by Wolanin, saved by Sparks
  11. P1 4:55Shot by Ryan, saved by Sparks
  12. P1 6:36Goal by Ceci (Wolanin, Veronneau)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Ceci, Wolanin, Veronneau, Tkachuk · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  13. P1 7:03Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  14. P1 12:43Shot by Moore, saved by Nilsson
  15. P1 7:55Shot by Boedker, saved by Sparks
  16. P1 9:00Shot by Hainsey, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 10:06Shot by Smith, saved by Sparks
  18. P1 13:15Shot by Duclair, saved by Sparks
  19. P1 13:30Shot by Jaros, saved by Sparks
  20. P1 13:37Shot by Jaros, saved by Sparks
  21. P1 13:52Shot by Rielly, saved by Nilsson
  22. P1 14:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Nilsson
  23. P1 14:36Shot by Marner, saved by Nilsson
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  25. P1 16:55Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  26. P1 17:52Shot by Hyman, saved by Nilsson
  27. P1 19:13Shot by Wolanin, saved by Sparks
  28. P1 19:19Shot by Ryan, saved by Sparks
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:57Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  32. P2 1:07Shot by Rielly, saved by Nilsson
  33. P2 1:53Shot by Pageau, saved by Sparks
  34. P2 2:02Shot by Jaros, saved by Sparks
  35. P2 2:06Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Sparks
  36. P2 2:30Hyman: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Pageau, Jaros, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Kadri, Hyman, Zaitsev

  37. P2 4:51Shot by Johnsson, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 6:40Shot by Duclair, saved by Sparks
  39. P2 6:46Shot by DeMelo, saved by Sparks
  40. P2 6:48Goal by Gibbons (DeMelo, Boedker)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Boedker, Gibbons, DeMelo, Duclair, Harpur · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Brown

  41. P2 7:37Shot by Moore, saved by Nilsson
  42. P2 9:10Hainsey: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Pageau, Jaros, Veronneau, Tkachuk · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  43. P2 10:16Shot by Balcers, saved by Sparks5v4
  44. P2 11:37Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 11:58Shot by Holl, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 12:33Goal by Rielly (Tavares)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Pageau, Harpur, Jaros, Veronneau, Tkachuk · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  47. P2 12:55Shot by Holl, saved by Nilsson
  48. P2 13:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  49. P2 13:51Goal by Paajarvi (Balcers, Tierney)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin, Balcers · TOR Marleau, Kadri, Holl, Rielly, Brown

  50. P2 14:12Marleau: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, DeMelo, Tierney, Harpur, Balcers · TOR Marleau, Muzzin, Kadri, Brown, Zaitsev

  51. P2 15:42Shot by Ryan, saved by Sparks5v4
  52. P2 15:51Shot by Boedker, saved by Sparks5v4
  53. P2 16:51Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Sparks
  54. P2 18:50Goal by Paajarvi (Smith, Borowiecki)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Borowiecki, Paajarvi, Tierney, Jaros · TOR Tavares, Marincin, Holl, Hyman, Marner

  55. P2 19:03Shot by Boedker, saved by Sparks
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:12Shot by Tavares, saved by Nilsson
  59. P3 1:19Shot by Muzzin, saved by Nilsson
  60. P3 1:25Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sparks
  61. P3 1:28Shot by Veronneau, saved by Sparks
  62. P3 2:13Shot by Moore, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 2:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson
  64. P3 3:27Borowiecki: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci, Veronneau, Tkachuk · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  65. P3 3:27Smith: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Borowiecki, Pageau, Ceci, Veronneau, Tkachuk · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  66. P3 3:49Shot by Rielly, saved by Nilsson3v5
  67. P3 4:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson3v5
  68. P3 4:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson3v5
  69. P3 5:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson3v5
  70. P3 5:13Goal by Tavares (Matthews, Nylander)3v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, DeMelo, Harpur · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  71. P3 5:17Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Sparks4v5
  72. P3 5:44Shot by Kadri, saved by Nilsson
  73. P3 5:51Shot by Wolanin, saved by Sparks
  74. P3 5:52Marleau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Smith, Ceci, Tierney, Wolanin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Muzzin, Kadri, Moore

  75. P3 6:49Shot by Veronneau, saved by Sparks5v4
  76. P3 7:51Shot by Duclair, saved by Sparks5v4
  77. P3 8:00Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  78. P3 8:36Goal by Duclair (Harpur, Smith)+3 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Smith, Lindberg, DeMelo, Duclair, Harpur · TOR Holl, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  79. P3 10:06Shot by Muzzin, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 11:39Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sparks
  81. P3 11:43Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sparks
  82. P3 12:42Shot by Tavares, saved by Nilsson
  83. P3 13:06Shot by DeMelo, saved by Sparks
  84. P3 14:19Shot by Ceci, saved by Sparks
  85. P3 14:21Goal by Lindberg (Ceci, Smith)0 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Smith, Lindberg, Ceci, Wolanin · TOR Hainsey, Holl, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  86. P3 16:05Balcers: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Paajarvi, DeMelo, Tierney, Harpur, Balcers · TOR Marleau, Ennis, Kadri, Marincin, Holl

  87. P3 16:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Nilsson4v5
  88. P3 16:35Shot by Pageau, saved by Sparks4v5
  89. P3 17:33Shot by Muzzin, saved by Nilsson4v5
  90. P3 17:50Shot by Nylander, saved by Nilsson4v5
  91. P3 18:40Shot by Smith, saved by Sparks
  92. P3 18:56Shot by Marincin, saved by Nilsson
  93. P3 19:08Shot by Brown, saved by Nilsson
  94. P3 0:00Period end
  95. P3 0:00Final