Sat, Mar 16, 2019·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Ottawa Senators 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 52% of the time.
44%
9%
38%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 24:55 | 0.33 | 40.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 23:41 | 0.14 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 | 0.01 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:25 | 0.34 | 54.6% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 9 | 18:36 | 0.78 | 50.5% | +4.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:51 | 0.04 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.28 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 15:17 | 0.60 | 40.9% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.01 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.22 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:57 | 0.03 | 16.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.07 | 10.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:47 | 0.25 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.03 | 75.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.13 | 94.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 44 | 38 | 6 | .864 | 3.47 | −2.5 | 59:54 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 24:29 | 0.22 | 54.4% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 23:17 | 0.19 | 47.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:09 | 0.04 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.36 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.25 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.02 | 74.4% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:12 | 0.00 | 71.1% | +3.5 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.02 | 54.1% | +9.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.27 | 49.9% | +0.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.09 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.50 | 54.5% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.03 | 49.1% | +5.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.01 | 86.1% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:13 | 0.10 | 52.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:01 | 0.44 | 94.9% | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 10:46 | 0.43 | 72.6% | +20.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:40 | 0.23 | 47.6% | +14.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 10:31 | 0.27 | 53.8% | +3.5 |
| W | 37 | 35 | 2 | .946 | 3.31 | +1.3 | 60:00 |