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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 20, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.

BUF winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Johnsson, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Hainsey, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 4:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Sparks
  5. P1 4:21Shot by Skinner, saved by Sparks
  6. P1 4:53Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 4:55Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 5:19Larsson: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Bogosian, Larsson, Girgensons, Ristolainen · TOR Marleau, Kadri, Holl, Rielly, Brown

  9. P1 6:47Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton4v5
  10. P1 7:14Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutton4v5
  11. P1 7:37Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 7:45Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 7:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  14. P1 8:08Shot by Johnsson, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 9:10Shot by Hainsey, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 9:35Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  17. P1 9:45Shot by Petan, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 10:10Eichel: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson · TOR Hainsey, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  19. P1 10:20Shot by Marner, saved by Hutton4v5
  20. P1 10:22Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton4v5
  21. P1 10:28Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton4v5
  22. P1 11:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton4v5
  23. P1 11:36Shot by Larsson, saved by Sparks4v5
  24. P1 12:46Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks
  25. P1 13:16Hyman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Dahlin · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner

  26. P1 13:31Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton5v4
  27. P1 14:42Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sparks5v4
  28. P1 15:04Goal by Mittelstadt (Dahlin, Eichel)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Reinhart, Eichel, Mittelstadt, Dahlin · TOR Muzzin, Nylander, Kapanen, Zaitsev

  29. P1 16:16Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sparks
  30. P1 16:28Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  31. P1 19:06Hyman: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues, Nylander · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Zaitsev

  32. P1 0:00Period end5v4
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 1:07Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks
  35. P2 1:43Goal by Matthews (Johnsson, Muzzin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Reinhart, Montour, Eichel, Mittelstadt · TOR Muzzin, Rielly, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews

  36. P2 2:20Shot by Rielly, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 4:12Shot by Hyman, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 5:48Shot by Holl, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 5:53Shot by Hainsey, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 6:04Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  41. P2 6:55Shot by Thompson, saved by Sparks
  42. P2 7:19Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutton
  43. P2 7:31Shot by Muzzin, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 7:48Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 7:58Shot by Reinhart, saved by Sparks
  46. P2 9:18Shot by Nelson, saved by Sparks
  47. P2 9:35Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  48. P2 9:38Girgensons: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Larsson, Girgensons, Nelson, Dahlin · TOR Marleau, Hainsey, Kadri, Rielly, Kapanen

  49. P2 11:10Shot by Eichel, saved by Sparks4v5
  50. P2 11:33Shot by Kadri, saved by Hutton4v5
  51. P2 11:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Hutton
  52. P2 12:20Shot by Johnsson, saved by Hutton
  53. P2 13:05Shot by Zaitsev, saved by Hutton
  54. P2 14:35Shot by Nylander, saved by Hutton
  55. P2 15:04Shot by Scandella, saved by Sparks
  56. P2 15:50Shot by Ozhiganov, saved by Hutton
  57. P2 15:54Shot by Kapanen, saved by Hutton
  58. P2 17:07Shot by Brown, saved by Hutton
  59. P2 18:32Goal by Tavares (Nylander, Matthews)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Scandella, Skinner, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews

  60. P2 19:20Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sparks
  61. P2 19:33Shot by Okposo, saved by Sparks
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 0:22Goal by Marner (Tavares)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Ristolainen, Sheary, Rodrigues, Thompson · TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev

  65. P3 0:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  66. P3 1:01Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton
  67. P3 1:43Shot by Moore, saved by Hutton
  68. P3 3:36Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  69. P3 4:57Shot by Nelson, saved by Sparks
  70. P3 5:37Goal by Nylander (Sobotka, Bogosian)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Sobotka, Bogosian, Ristolainen, Nylander, Mittelstadt · TOR Tavares, Hyman, Rielly, Marner, Ozhiganov

  71. P3 7:20Shot by Hainsey, saved by Hutton
  72. P3 9:26Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sparks
  73. P3 12:22Shot by Sobotka, saved by Sparks
  74. P3 12:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Sparks
  75. P3 14:26Shot by Thompson, saved by Sparks
  76. P3 15:01Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sparks
  77. P3 16:26Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Sparks
  78. P3 17:35Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sparks
  79. P3 17:45Shot by Matthews, saved by Hutton
  80. P3 19:27Goal by Hyman, unassisted6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Ristolainen, Sheary, Reinhart, Eichel, Dahlin · TOR Hainsey, Tavares, Hyman, Marner, Zaitsev

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final