Wed, Mar 20, 2019·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 89% of the time.
85%
BUF winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:25 | 0.02 | 72.1% | 0.0 |
 Ron HainseyD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 24:21 | 0.10 | 70.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake MuzzinD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 24:13 | 0.04 | 76.6% | +19.6 |
 Nikita ZaitsevD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:41 | 0.06 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:30 | 0.29 | 78.0% | +15.6 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 19:57 | 1.10 | 75.8% | +40.5 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 19:39 | 0.84 | 74.3% | +44.5 |
 William NylanderRW · #29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.18 | 70.7% | +24.9 |
 Patrick MarleauC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.12 | 63.3% | 0.0 |
 Zach HymanLW · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:12 | 0.92 | 75.2% | +2.9 |
 Kasperi KapanenRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15:56 | 0.50 | 72.7% | 0.0 |
 Nazem KadriC · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.07 | 79.9% | 0.0 |
 Andreas JohnssonLW · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.19 | 77.4% | +19.6 |
 Igor OzhiganovD · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:42 | 0.01 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Nic PetanC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.12 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Connor BrownRW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:47 | 0.04 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.02 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Trevor MooreLW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:41 | 0.02 | 40.8% | 0.0 |
 Garret Sparks#40 | W | 24 | 22 | 2 | .917 | 1.82 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus RistolainenD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:42 | 0.02 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Zach BogosianD · #4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.03 | 31.7% | +14.6 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.20 | 23.1% | +18.0 |
 Marco ScandellaD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:11 | 0.03 | 16.7% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 35.2% | +18.0 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:47 | 0.07 | 17.7% | 0.0 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.03 | 6.3% | 0.0 |
 Casey NelsonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:32 | 0.05 | 22.3% | 0.0 |
 Sam ReinhartC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.26 | 18.0% | 0.0 |
 Brandon MontourD · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.02 | 34.6% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.06 | 24.6% | 0.0 |
 Johan LarssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.19 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.03 | 21.7% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:15 | 0.16 | 49.5% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12:16 | 0.32 | 44.0% | +18.0 |
 Vladimir SobotkaC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:15 | 0.04 | 54.8% | +14.6 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:08 | 0.21 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Alex NylanderLW · #92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:50 | 0.07 | 26.2% | +14.6 |
 Carter Hutton#40 | L | 45 | 42 | 3 | .933 | 3.91 | +0.9 | 59:01 |