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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 7, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Andersen
  3. P1 2:00Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Binnington
  4. P1 2:08Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Binnington
  5. P1 2:09Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Binnington
  6. P1 2:18Shot by Muzzin, saved by Binnington
  7. P1 3:58Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  8. P1 4:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Binnington
  9. P1 6:30Shot by Schenn, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 6:45Shot by Schenn, saved by Andersen
  11. P1 7:40Shot by Marner, saved by Binnington
  12. P1 7:55Shot by Kapanen, saved by Binnington
  13. P1 9:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  14. P1 9:21Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  15. P1 9:55Shot by Holl, saved by Binnington
  16. P1 11:09Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Andersen
  17. P1 11:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Binnington
  18. P1 12:26Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  19. P1 12:29Shot by Nylander, saved by Binnington
  20. P1 13:44Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Andersen
  21. P1 14:22Perron: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Barrie, Rielly, Nylander, Kapanen, Marner · STL Bouwmeester, Perron, O'Reilly, Parayko, Blais

  22. P1 15:02Shot by Marner, saved by Binnington5v4
  23. P1 16:18Shot by Spezza, saved by Binnington5v4
  24. P1 18:27Shot by Gauthier, saved by Binnington
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:16Shot by Steen, saved by Andersen
  28. P2 2:19Shot by Steen, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 2:21Shot by Barbashev, saved by Andersen
  30. P2 2:36Sandin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Holl, Kerfoot, Petan, Sandin · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Bozak, Fabbri, Barbashev

  31. P2 2:57Shot by Dunn, saved by Andersen4v5
  32. P2 4:12Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Andersen4v5
  33. P2 4:43Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  34. P2 5:53Shot by Johnsson, saved by Binnington
  35. P2 6:06Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 6:44Shot by Kapanen, saved by Binnington
  37. P2 8:30Goal by Sundqvist (Barbashev, Binnington)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Parayko, Sundqvist, Barbashev

  38. P2 8:54Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen
  39. P2 9:08Shot by Dunn, saved by Andersen
  40. P2 10:33Shot by Marner, saved by Binnington
  41. P2 10:34Shot by Muzzin, saved by Binnington
  42. P2 10:52Shot by Holl, saved by Binnington
  43. P2 11:31Shot by Spezza, saved by Binnington
  44. P2 11:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Binnington
  45. P2 11:34Goal by Gauthier (Spezza, Petan)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Spezza, Muzzin, Barrie, Petan, Gauthier · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Sanford, Fabbri

  46. P2 11:58Goal by Nylander (Ceci, Johnsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Rielly, Ceci, Johnsson, Nylander, Matthews · STL Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo, Schenn, Tarasenko, Schwartz

  47. P2 12:22Holl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Moore, Sandin, Mikheyev · STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Parayko, Sundqvist, Barbashev

  48. P2 14:12Shot by Perron, saved by Andersen4v5
  49. P2 14:49Shot by Johnsson, saved by Binnington
  50. P2 15:18Shot by Matthews, saved by Binnington
  51. P2 16:22Gunnarsson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Ceci, Kerfoot, Kapanen · STL Bouwmeester, Gunnarsson, Tarasenko, Sundqvist, Barbashev

  52. P2 17:04Shot by Steen, saved by Andersen5v4
  53. P2 17:53Shot by Bozak, saved by Andersen5v4
  54. P2 19:03Shot by Schwartz, saved by Andersen
  55. P2 19:12Goal by Schenn (Schwartz, Tarasenko)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Barrie, Rielly, Gauthier, Moore, Mikheyev · STL Schenn, Faulk, Tarasenko, Schwartz, Dunn

  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:34Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Binnington
  59. P3 1:38Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Binnington
  60. P3 1:39Moore: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Moore, Sandin, Mikheyev · STL Steen, Gunnarsson, Faulk, Sundqvist, Barbashev

  61. P3 1:39Gunnarsson: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR Holl, Kerfoot, Moore, Sandin, Mikheyev · STL Steen, Gunnarsson, Faulk, Sundqvist, Barbashev

  62. P3 2:08Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Andersen4v4
  63. P3 4:46Shot by Rielly, saved by Binnington
  64. P3 6:32Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 7:01Shot by Sandin, saved by Binnington
  66. P3 7:51Goal by Pietrangelo (Perron, Blais)+32 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner · STL Perron, Pietrangelo, O'Reilly, Faulk, Blais

  67. P3 11:11Shot by Fabbri, saved by Andersen
  68. P3 11:30Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  69. P3 11:38Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  70. P3 13:41Shot by Gauthier, saved by Binnington
  71. P3 15:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Andersen5v6
  72. P3 15:03Muzzin: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR Muzzin, Tavares, Barrie, Kapanen, Marner · STL Perron, Pietrangelo, Bozak, O'Reilly, Tarasenko, Parayko

  73. P3 15:19Shot by Parayko, saved by Andersen4v5
  74. P3 15:55Shot by Mikheyev, saved by Binnington4v5
  75. P3 16:11Shot by Rielly, saved by Binnington4v5
  76. P3 18:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Binnington6v5
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final