Mon, Oct 7, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
St. Louis Blues 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.
54%
9%
30%
TOR winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:33 | 0.20 | 23.3% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:16 | 0.08 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.04 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:07 | 0.07 | 21.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.07 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:06 | 0.23 | 42.5% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:58 | 0.27 | 41.4% | +32.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:12 | 0.35 | 30.4% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.78 | 42.6% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.09 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.03 | 49.3% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.19 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 | 0.02 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:39 | 0.02 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.29 | 56.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:02 | 0.13 | 34.0% | +32.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.03 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:25 | 0.00 | 6.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 3.65 | +1.6 | 59:38 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25:05 | 0.09 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:09 | 0.39 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:07 | 0.06 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:29 | 0.11 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 58.0% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.06 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.47 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.25 | 76.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.46 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:14 | 0.40 | 85.9% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.01 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 14:42 | 0.28 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:08 | 0.19 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 | 0.08 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:41 | 0.35 | 94.4% | +24.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 6:36 | 0.35 | 59.6% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:41 | 0.05 | 93.7% | +24.3 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.35 | −0.6 | 57:44 |