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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 7, 2019·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–O'Reilly–BlaisSchenn–Tarasenko–SchwartzSteen–Sundqvist–BarbashevBozak–Sanford–FabbriTarasenko–Sundqvist–BarbashevPerron–O'Reilly–SanfordPerron–Bozak–O'ReillyBouwmeester–ParaykoGunnarsson–PietrangeloFaulk–DunnPietrangelo–FaulkParayko–DunnBouwmeester–FaulkBouwmeester–PietrangeloPietrangelo–DunnBouwmeester–Gunnarsson
Tavares–Kapanen–Marner7:350.54–0.261:290.02–0.030:340.00–0.000:340.01–0.001:070.00–0.003:090.27–0.003:420.01–0.061:400.20–0.071:050.00–0.000:510.06–0.130:340.00–0.030:340.01–0.00
Johnsson–Nylander–Matthews4:500.53–0.083:040.20–0.004:460.08–0.072:170.21–0.000:520.00–0.041:080.29–0.03
Kerfoot–Moore–Mikheyev1:220.00–0.072:320.07–0.471:510.01–0.031:130.00–0.002:510.01–0.550:370.00–0.051:230.00–0.03
Spezza–Petan–Gauthier0:300.06–0.002:400.08–0.001:180.07–0.030:350.55–0.021:310.07–0.000:390.06–0.00
Nylander–Matthews–Mikheyev1:030.05–0.00
Tavares–Marner–Matthews
Gauthier–Moore–Mikheyev0:360.00–0.380:460.00–0.38
Muzzin–Barrie6:270.52–0.091:490.02–0.030:460.18–0.030:320.00–0.001:050.00–0.003:500.24–0.034:050.57–0.021:070.02–0.001:220.20–0.070:330.19–0.000:490.24–0.00
Rielly–Ceci2:080.07–0.235:190.59–0.131:270.03–0.001:170.00–0.003:500.11–0.072:310.25–0.062:220.00–0.151:130.29–0.010:390.00–0.130:530.06–0.00
Holl–Sandin0:350.00–0.033:520.12–0.473:160.09–0.003:060.06–0.000:310.00–0.014:030.13–0.470:410.00–0.00
Barrie–Rielly1:130.08–0.380:330.00–0.070:570.14–0.001:120.08–0.070:440.14–0.00
Muzzin–Ceci0:310.01–0.000:480.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:310.01–0.00
Barrie–Sandin0:460.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Rielly–Sandin0:420.00–0.030:590.05–0.03
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKapanen FTavares FJohnsson FMatthews FNylander FKerfoot FMikheyev FMoore FSpezza FGauthier FPetan FMuzzin DBarrie DRielly DCeci DHoll DSandin DAndersen GBlais FPerron FO'Reilly FSchwartz FTarasenko FSchenn FSteen FBarbashev FSundqvist FFabbri FBozak FSanford FGunnarsson DPietrangelo DBouwmeester DParayko DFaulk DDunn DBinnington G
TORSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3125:050:492:1922
Alex PietrangeloSTL3024:330:491:4726
Mitch MarnerTOR2723:090:511:3646
Tyson BarrieTOR2523:070:552:1925
Colton ParaykoSTL2722:160:491:3224
Justin FaulkSTL2621:170:491:5045
Jay BouwmeesterSTL2621:070:492:0112
John TavaresTOR2120:290:592:1425
Ryan O'ReillySTL2320:200:531:3653
Cody CeciTOR2620:130:471:5123
Jake MuzzinTOR2820:010:431:3218
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:200:532:3530
Andreas JohnssonTOR2118:330:532:3520
Kasperi KapanenTOR2318:320:481:2414
Vladimir TarasenkoSTL2418:060:451:2342
David PerronSTL2117:580:511:2540
Brayden SchennSTL2217:120:471:0952
Jaden SchwartzSTL2216:390:451:1751
Vince DunnSTL2016:230:491:2945
William NylanderTOR2216:140:441:2410
Oskar SundqvistSTL1915:400:492:1504
Rasmus SandinTOR1915:200:481:4853
Ilya MikheyevTOR2014:420:441:1352
Alexander SteenSTL2014:060:422:0207
Tyler BozakSTL1913:480:441:1043
Alexander KerfootTOR1713:080:461:3441
Justin HollTOR1712:510:451:2933
Carl GunnarssonSTL1812:390:421:2302
Ivan BarbashevSTL1812:370:421:5304
Trevor MooreTOR1812:340:421:2241
Sammy BlaisSTL1311:020:511:1640
Robby FabbriSTL1310:140:471:1541
Jason SpezzaTOR138:410:401:2404
Zachary SanfordSTL138:250:390:5942
Frederik GauthierTOR106:360:401:0603
Nic PetanTOR105:410:340:5102